Match Info

First League - Round 15

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent)


	Zhetisay		Turkistan

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.15	6.5
	1.08	1.00	1.00	Watch
	1.33	5.05	6.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.32)	3.73 ↓ (5)	4.74 ↓ (7.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhetisay
62.7%

Draw
20.8%

Turkistan
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

18.3%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

12.5%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhetisay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhetisay's form might have worsened.

Turkistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhetisay than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhetisay that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turkistan than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Mukhambetzhanuly M. (G) 9. Amirbek N. 10. Baurzhan M. 6. Bazarbay E. 21. Ermekuulu A. 17. Kulmaganbetov A. 96. Mustafin B. 3. Orynbasar O. 19. Rakhmetov M. 70. Ryskul B. (C) 4. Sarbay E.	16. Barlyk B. (G) 4. Amanbay A. 8. Isaev S. 70. Khakimov I. 33. Kuatbekuly K. 21. Nurmakhanov D. 2. Omirbek B. 10. Pachchakhanov D. (C) 11. Sabirzhanov K. 20. Saydulla N. 87. Umarov I.
Substitutes
8. Asatulla A. 33. Dandybaev N. 74. Ibrahim E. 24. Karzhau A. 20. Kospayev E. 7. Madelkhan B. 2. Mazhitov D. 79. Sarsenbek B. 16. Turdybaev N.	77. Ali Ogly R. 18. Kolbaev B. 14. Murat B. 7. Mutali N. 22. Seydakhmet A. (G) 45. Seydakhmet S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Kulmaganbetov A. ⚽, Ermekuulu A. (A),
15', 🟨,
39', Umarov I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kulmaganbetov A. ↓, Dandybaev N. ↑,
46', Omirbek B. ↓, Mutali N. ↑,
46', Isaev S. ↓, Ali Ogly R. ↑,
51', Amanbay A. 🟨,
55', Saydulla N. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Ryskul B. ⚽,
58', Khakimov I. ↓, Murat B. ↑,
59', Saydulla N. ↓, Seydakhmet S. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Amanbay A. ⚽,
67', Baurzhan M. ↓, Mazhitov D. ↑,
78', Rakhmetov M. ↓, Kospayev E. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Kospayev E. ⚽,
89', Bazarbay E. ↓, Sarsenbek B. ↑,
90+3', Nurmakhanov D. ↓, Kolbaev B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Zhetisay may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zhetisay is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zhetisay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zhetisay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zhetisay FC
Kazakh First League
18.07.25	Kaspiy Aktau - Zhetisay	2:2 ✺
11.07.25	Zhetisay - Akademiya Ontustik	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Altai Semey - Zhetisay	1:2 ✺
20.06.25	Zhetisay - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2 ✺
13.06.25	Kairat 2 - Zhetisay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLWLL
- FC Turkistan
Kazakh First League
17.07.25	Turkistan - AKAS	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Kairat 2 - Turkistan	6:1 ✺
03.07.25	Turkistan - Aktobe 2	1:1 ✺
26.06.25	Batyr Ekibastuz - Turkistan	1:1 ✺
19.06.25	Turkistan - Ertis Pavlodar	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
03.10.24	Turkistan - Zhetisay	1:2
02.05.24	Zhetisay - Turkistan	5:2
Kazakh Cup
27.03.23	Zhetisay - Turkistan	0:1

Zhetisay - Turkistan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide