Match Info

Date: 7 October 2022, Friday


	Baumberg		TuRU Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	3.5
	1.75	3.9	3.2
	1.76	3.75	3.4
	1.8	4.39	3.55
	1.73	3.98	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.93)	3.96 ↓ (4.2)	3.47 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baumberg
51.3%

Draw
22.7%

TuRU Düsseldorf
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

21.7%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

21.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baumberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

TuRU Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TuRU Düsseldorf might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baumberg than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TuRU Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TuRU Düsseldorf could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Baumberg - TuRU Düsseldorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Baumberg won 3.

Baumberg is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Düsseldorf is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Baumberg will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Baumberg won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Baumberg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Baumberg
German Oberliga Niederrhein
02.10.22	Hilden - Baumberg	1:0 ✺
25.09.22	Baumberg - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	1:3 ✺
21.09.22	Homberg - Baumberg	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Baumberg - Meerbusch	1:0 ✺
09.09.22	Velbert - Baumberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWL
- TuRU Düsseldorf
German Oberliga Niederrhein
02.10.22	TuRU Düsseldorf - TVD Velbert	3:2 ✺
25.09.22	FSV Duisburg - TuRU Düsseldorf	3:2 ✺
21.09.22	TuRU Düsseldorf - Schonnebeck	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Sonsbeck - TuRU Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
09.09.22	TuRU Düsseldorf - Cronenberger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Niederrhein
10.10.21	TuRU Düsseldorf - Baumberg	2:0
06.09.20	TuRU Düsseldorf - Baumberg	0:3
08.03.20	Baumberg - TuRU Düsseldorf	7:0
08.09.19	TuRU Düsseldorf - Baumberg	4:0
12.05.19	TuRU Düsseldorf - Baumberg	1:3
04.11.18	Baumberg - TuRU Düsseldorf	3:0
16.12.17	TuRU Düsseldorf - Baumberg	0:3

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