Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA NIEDERRHEIN - ROUND 17

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Homberg		Baumberg

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.75	1.75
	3.74	4.32	1.74
	3.74	4.32	1.75
	3.78	3.8	1.74
	3.75	3.75	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↓ (7.27)	3.99 ↓ (5)	1.75 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homberg
24.5%

Draw
23%

Baumberg
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

18.2%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

17.7%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Homberg's performance.

Baumberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baumberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homberg than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Homberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baumberg than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baumberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga West).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Homberg won 2.

Recent matches Homberg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Baumberg is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Homberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Baumberg is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Homberg won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Homberg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Homberg
German Oberliga Niederrhein
03.12.23	Büderich - Homberg	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - Homberg	3:1 ✺
19.11.23	Homberg - Schonnebeck	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Germania Ratingen - Homberg	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Homberg - Mulheimer FC 97	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWLW
- Sportfreunde Baumberg
German Oberliga Niederrhein
01.12.23	Baumberg - Union Nettetal	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	Baumberg - Büderich	3:2 ✺
11.11.23	Hilden - Baumberg	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Baumberg - Schonnebeck	4:0 ✺
28.10.23	Straelen - Baumberg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Niederrhein
22.03.23	Baumberg - Homberg	0:1
21.09.22	Homberg - Baumberg	1:1
15.12.18	Baumberg - Homberg	2:1
15.08.18	Homberg - Baumberg	2:1
13.08.17	Homberg - Baumberg	0:2
14.05.17	Baumberg - Homberg	2:0
06.11.16	Homberg - Baumberg	4:2

Homberg - Baumberg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide