Match Info

NPFL - Round 13

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Samson Siasia Sports Stadium (Yenagoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Bayelsa United		Abia Warriors

	1	X	2
	1.75	2.98	4.85
	1.75	3.05	4.82
	1.99	2.99	4.00	Watch
	1.83	2.94	4.66
	2.05	2.95	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.92)	2.98 ↑ (2.9)	4.46 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayelsa United
48.8%

Draw
30.7%

Abia Warriors
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

31.4%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

34.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayelsa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Abia Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayelsa United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abia Warriors than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bayelsa United - Abia Warriors Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayelsa United will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayelsa United will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Chiaha C. (G) 5. Biriduba G. (C) 6. Chukwu C. 27. Emo J. 14. Jawad M. 20. Lawal K. 4. Loveday S. 32. Nupe 10. Ofem E. 26. Ogba I. 33. Williams U.	1. Okiemute O. (G) 8. Abdullahi F. 30. Adeleke K. 16. Azubuike C. 19. Godwin I. 18. Innocent G. 26. Jibrin F. 12. Megwo S. (C) 10. Samson P. 25. Somiari A. 7. Suraju L.
Substitutes
11. Amon S. 35. Andy E. (G) 8. Chinedu E. 24. Clark F. 17. Ebimobowei P. 25. Edwin A. 29. Ogundare A. 7. Sheddy K. 3. Yusuf I.	32. Fred D. 22. Ishaku A. (G) 37. Joseph I. 4. Kangeshima M. 27. Merpring C. 34. Ogunjimi S. 24. Oguocha E. 28. Osoboh O. 15. Wilson E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Chinedu E. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Megwo S. ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 1, Chinedu E. ⚽,
86', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

Recent performances by Bayelsa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Abia Warriors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bayelsa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bayelsa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayelsa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayelsa United
Nigerian Premier League
09.11.25	Kano Pillars - Bayelsa United	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Bayelsa United - Plateau United	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Warri Wolves - Bayelsa United	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Bayelsa United - Kun Khalifa	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Rivers United - Bayelsa United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 TWLLW
- Abia Warriors
Nigerian Premier League
09.11.25	Abia Warriors - Enyimba	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Niger Tornadoes - Abia Warriors	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Abia Warriors - Barau	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Shooting Stars - Abia Warriors	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Abia Warriors - El-Kanemi Warriors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
25.01.25	Abia Warriors - Bayelsa United	1:0
28.12.24	Bayelsa United - Abia Warriors	0:1
03.12.23	Bayelsa United - Abia Warriors	2:2

Bayelsa United - Abia Warriors: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide