Match Info

NPFL - Round 28

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Samson Siasia Sports Stadium (Yenagoa)


	Bayelsa United		Rivers United

	1	X	2
	1.92	2.92	4.05
	1.76	3.25	4.34
	1.99	2.98	4.04	Watch
	1.95	2.8	3.8
	1.78	3.19	4.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.93)	3.03 ↑ (2.95)	4.22 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayelsa United
48.4%

Draw
30.1%

Rivers United
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

30.6%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

29.2%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayelsa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Rivers United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayelsa United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rivers United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Bayelsa United - Rivers United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Andy E. (G) 26. Etunuya E. 32. Godstime N. 2. Ihunwo K. 9. Ikoi E. 14. Jawad M. 20. Lawal K. 29. Ogundare A. (C) 33. Williams U. 7. Wisdom S. 3. Yusuf I.	34. Noble J. (G) 19. Annor I. 26. Chijioke M. 36. Elias O. 33. Emekayi T. (C) 24. Falolu W. 6. Manyo S. 20. Nnaji E. 29. Otaniyi T. 27. Sholumade D. 31. Zachariah T.
Substitutes
8. Chinedu E. 6. Chukwu C. 17. Ebimobowei P. 27. Emo J. 23. Garba S. 4. Loveday S. 28. Nasidi A. 16. Oladipo K. (G) 19. Tombiri B.	13. Abdulrafiu T. 35. Akobundu E. 22. Ayemwenre R. 4. Duke O. 28. Jenewari M. B. 30. Obi S. 12. Ogechukwu O. 1. Pius I. (G) 21. Samuel W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
78', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayelsa won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bayelsa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bayelsa is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Bayelsa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayelsa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rivers United	7	4	3	0	13:2	11	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayelsa United
Nigerian Premier League
22.02.26	Ikorodu City - Bayelsa United	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Bayelsa United - Bendel Insurance	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Nasarawa United - Bayelsa United	1:1 ✺
29.01.26	Bayelsa United - Niger Tornadoes	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Barau - Bayelsa United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TTTTT
- Rivers United
Nigerian Premier League
25.02.26	Rivers United - Barau	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Rivers United - Enyimba	1:1 ✺
18.02.26	Kwara United - Rivers United	1:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
14.02.26	Berkane - Rivers United	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Rivers United - Pyramids	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
13.10.25	Rivers United - Bayelsa United	1:2
26.03.25	Bayelsa United - Rivers United	1:0
10.11.24	Rivers United - Bayelsa United	0:1
30.04.24	Bayelsa United - Rivers United	2:1
14.12.23	Rivers United - Bayelsa United	2:0
07.05.23	Rivers United - Bayelsa United	2:1
22.02.23	Bayelsa United - Rivers United	2:2

Bayelsa United - Rivers United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide