Match Info

NPFL - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Rivers United		Barau

	1	X	2
	1.34	3.6	9.8
	1.38	3.59	10.5	Watch
	1.3	3.5	10
	1.4	3.89	9.22
	1.36	3.75	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	3.67 ↑ (3.65)	9.9 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rivers United
66.4%

Draw
24.5%

Barau
9.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63%

25%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

24%

11.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rivers United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Barau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rivers United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barau than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5th).

Rivers United has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Barau has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The betting markets point to Rivers United as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Rivers United has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rivers United against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Rivers United	10	4	5	1	14:4	10	17
5	Barau	10	3	6	1	13:10	3	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rivers United
Nigerian Premier League
11.10.26	Abia Warriors - Rivers United	0:0 ✺
04.10.26	Rivers United - Ikorodu City	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Katsina United - Rivers United	1:1 ✺
24.09.26	Rivers United - Kun Khalifa	5:0 ✺
20.09.26	Nasarawa United - Rivers United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWTWT
- Barau FC
Nigerian Premier League
11.10.26	Barau - Enugu Rangers	2:2 ✺
04.10.26	Bendel Insurance - Barau	4:1
26.09.26	Sporting Lagos - Barau	1:1 ✺
23.09.26	Barau - Abia Warriors	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Ikorodu City - Barau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
25.02.26	Rivers United - Barau	1:0
19.12.25	Barau - Rivers United	4:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barau FC
Nigerian Premier League
30.10.26	Niger Tornadoes - Barau	✺

Rivers United - Barau