The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 54.6%
Draw 22.9%
Werder Bremen 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.2%
24%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.4%
25.5%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer 04 Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer 04 Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-1%)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Werder Bremen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Borggrafe R. (G) 5. Wenger C. 24. Turanyi L. 2. Ostermeier S. 30. Simon C. (C) 19. Bender L. 10. Gonzalez E. 16. Zdebel S. 28. Tomasiak P. 23. Sternad M. 7. Kramer C.
1. Fischer V. (G) 15. Weiss M. 5. Ulbrich M. (C) 27. Gutmann S. 3. Zieniewicz W. 23. Hipp J. 28. Wirtz J. 31. Dhont E. 13. Vanzeir L. 11. Jaron I. 8. Shimada M.
Substitutes
8. Brandau J. 21. Fudalla V. 9. Kehrer C. 11. Kowalski N. 18. Loonen L. 27. Muller M. 6. Platner P. 1. Voll C. (G) 14. Wallrabenstein E.
9. Desic M. 26. Ernst S. 16. Farwick T. (G) 6. Gmeineder M. 4. Magerl J. 10. Mahmoud T. 14. Muhlemann E. 7. Purtscheller L. 19. Strasser F.
Coaches
Patzold R.
Kromp F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
20', Zdebel S. 🟨,
24', Borggrafe R. 🟨,
25', Borggrafe R. ↓, Voll C. ↑,
26', 0 - 1, Vanzeir L. (Penalty Awarded),
31', 0 - 2, Weiss M. ⚽,
40', Dhont E. 🟨,
43', Gutmann S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Simon C. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Kramer C. ⚽, Bender L. (A),
56', 2 - 2, Kramer C. ⚽, Gonzalez E. (A),
59', Shimada M. ↓, Purtscheller L. ↑,
61', Wirtz J. 🟨,
67', Jaron I. 🟨,
67', Hipp J. ↓, Desic M. ↑,
68', Jaron I. ↓, Gmeineder M. ↑,
77', Ulbrich M. 🟨,
79', Zieniewicz W. 🟨,
80', Bender L. ↓, Loonen L. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Loonen L. ⚽, Tomasiak P. (A),
84', Dhont E. ↓, Strasser F. ↑,
84', Vanzeir L. ↓, Mahmoud T. ↑,
86', Zdebel S. ↓, Platner P. ↑,
86', Sternad M. ↓, Kehrer C. ↑,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 6th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 1.
In recent outings, Bayer has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Werder is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bayer could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Bayer for this game.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Bayer has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:18 (averaging 1.6:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bayer against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 18:11 goals (averaging 2:1.2 per game).