Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Bayern Hof		Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg

	1	X	2
	1.82	4.33	2.95
	1.86	4	2.88
	1.8	4.1	3.05
	1.9	4.44	3.19
	1.86	4	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.52)	4.17 ↑ (4)	3.08 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern Hof
49%

Draw
21.7%

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

21.7%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

20.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern Hof has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayern Hof's form might have worsened.

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Hof than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayern Hof, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bayern Hof have a series of home games.

Bayern Hof will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bayern Hof won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayern Hof
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
04.05.22	Bayern Hof - Ansbach	1:2 ✺
30.04.22	DJK Ammerthal - Bayern Hof	2:4 ✺
26.04.22	Bayern Hof - Feucht	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	Bayern Hof - ATSV Erlangen	0:4 ✺
18.04.22	Bayern Hof - Sand	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWLW
- Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
03.05.22	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Karlburg	2:0 ✺
30.04.22	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Sand	3:1 ✺
24.04.22	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg	5:1 ✺
16.04.22	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Eintracht Bamberg	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Neumarkt - Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
09.10.21	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Bayern Hof	3:3

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