Match Info

Date: 3 May 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg		Karlburg

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.3
	2.35	3.55	2.32
	2.28	3.4	2.5
	2.43	3.72	2.6
	2.4	3.1	2.55
	2.41	3.48	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.2)	3.46 ↓ (3.62)	2.48 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
37.7%

Draw
26%

Karlburg
36.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.4%

25.2%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

24.8%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Karlburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlburg than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	41.7%	16.7%

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Karlburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Vatan Aschaffenburg will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Karlburg will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vatan Aschaffenburg: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)).

Recent matches Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karlburg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
30.04.22	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Sand	3:1 ✺
24.04.22	DJK Don Bosco Bamberg - Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg	5:1 ✺
16.04.22	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Eintracht Bamberg	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Neumarkt - Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg	0:1 ✺
06.04.22	Ansbach - Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WLLWL
- TSV Karlburg
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
30.04.22	Karlburg - Eintracht Bamberg	0:3 ✺
23.04.22	Neumarkt - Karlburg	3:0 ✺
18.04.22	Karlburg - Cham	1:6 ✺
14.04.22	Feucht - Karlburg	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Karlburg - Vilzing	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
04.09.21	Karlburg - Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg	1:1

Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Karlburg