Match Info

UEFA Youth League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: FC Bayern Campus (Munich)

Referee: Higraff D. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sporting TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Bayern U19		Sporting Lisbon U19

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.7	2.25
	2.67	3.87	2.17
	2.61	4.18	2.24	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.25
	2.65	3.68	2.22
	2.6	4	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↓ (3.16)	3.82 ↓ (4.04)	2.24 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayern U19
35.1%

Draw
24%

Sporting Lisbon U19
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

23%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

22.4%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayern U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayern U19's performance.

Sporting Lisbon U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern U19 than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayern U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon U19 than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bayern U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bayern U19 (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayern U19 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruland L. (G) 2. Moumouni R. 5. Kiala C. 4. Pavlic R. 3. Dalpiaz M. 8. Lambe A. 6. Daiber D. (C) 10. Della Rovere G. 7. Cardozo M. 9. Gashi Y. 11. Olychenko B.	1. Gouveia M. (G) 3. Atanasio 4. Taibo Dominguez L. (C) 5. Mota R. 2. Costa D. 6. Camacho R. 8. Simao P. 11. Duarte T. 7. da Silva Mendes I. 9. Silva G. 10. Kissanga M.
Substitutes
20. Afanou C. 16. Chavez F. 15. Fernandez J. 19. Hentcho A. 18. Kosters M. (G) 14. Matosevic M. 12. Pavic F. 13. Schmid L. 17. Snip R.	19. Almeida M. 16. Bafdili Z. 14. Daniel Lopes 18. Farinha D. 20. Jorge Ferreira S. 13. Santos D. 17. Siza S. 15. Soares S. 22. Tverdohlebov A. (G)
Coaches
Gaydarov P.	Joao Giao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Gashi Y. (Penalty Awarded),
16', 2 - 0, Cardozo M. ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, Silva G. ⚽,
35', Kiala C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Camacho R. ↓, Bafdili Z. ↑,
46', 3 - 1, Olychenko B. ⚽, Cardozo M. (A),
55', Costa D. ↓, Santos D. ↑,
55', Duarte T. ↓, Siza S. ↑,
58', Atanasio 🟨,
59', Lambe A. 🟨,
62', Kiala C. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
62', Della Rovere G. ↓, Chavez F. ↑,
66', da Silva Mendes I. ↓, Jorge Ferreira S. ↑,
74', Lambe A. ↓, Pavic F. ↑,
74', Moumouni R. ↓, Hentcho A. ↑,
78', Dalpiaz M. ↓, Matosevic M. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Taibo Dominguez L. ⚽, Silva G. (A),
81', Bafdili Z. 🟨,
84', Kissanga M. ↓, Almeida M. ↑,
90+3', Ruland L. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 3, Taibo Dominguez L. ⚽, Silva G. (A),

Preview

Bayern U19 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sporting U19 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bayern U19 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sporting U19 might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayern U19
German DFB Youth League
30.11.25	Stuttgarter Kickers U19 - Bayern U19	3:2 ✺
UEFA Youth League
26.11.25	Arsenal U19 - Bayern U19	4:2 ✺
04.11.25	Paris SG U19 - Bayern U19	3:0 ✺
German DFB Youth League
26.10.25	Bayern U19 - 1860 München U19	2:1 ✺
UEFA Youth League
22.10.25	Bayern U19 - Club Brugge U19	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- Sporting Lisbon U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
06.12.25	Sporting Lisbon U19 - Alverca U19	1:2 ✺
01.12.25	Mafra U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19	0:5 ✺
UEFA Youth League
26.11.25	Sporting Lisbon U19 - Club Brugge U19	2:1 ✺
04.11.25	Juventus U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19	2:2 ✺
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
25.10.25	Belenenses U19 - Sporting Lisbon U19	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWTW

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