Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday


	Bayreuth		Buchbach

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.45
	2.48	3.79	2.63
	2.46	3.52	2.39
	2.7	3.5	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.82)	3.6 ↑ (3.48)	2.41 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
36.4%

Draw
25.5%

Buchbach
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.2%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

25.3%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Buchbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bayreuth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buchbach than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Bayreuth - Buchbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Winklbauer T. ⚽,
73', 2 - 0, Heim F. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayreuth won 2.

In recent matches, Bayreuth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Buchbach is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bayreuth won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:31. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayreuth won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
German Regionalliga Bayern
23.08.25	Bayern Munich II - Bayreuth	3:2 ✺
16.08.25	Bayreuth - Hankofen-Hailing	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Bayreuth - Illertissen	1:5 ✺
24.07.25	Ansbach - Bayreuth	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Bayreuth - Chemnitzer	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWL
- TSV Buchbach
German Regionalliga Bayern
22.08.25	Buchbach - Schwaben Augsburg	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Greuther Fürth II - Buchbach	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Buchbach - Würzburger Kickers	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Bayern Munich II - Buchbach	6:3 ✺
27.07.25	Buchbach - Hankofen-Hailing	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
02.11.24	Buchbach - Bayreuth	4:1
20.07.24	Bayreuth - Buchbach	2:0
30.03.24	Bayreuth - Buchbach	0:2
15.09.23	Buchbach - Bayreuth	0:1
21.05.22	Buchbach - Bayreuth	5:2
23.10.21	Bayreuth - Buchbach	1:1
23.11.19	Buchbach - Bayreuth	3:1

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