Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 2

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday


	Bayreuth		Illertissen

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.3	2.62
	2.65	3.35	2.65
	2.43	3.24	2.57
	2.08	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.96)	3.31 ↓ (3.58)	2.79 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
38.7%

Draw
28.1%

Illertissen
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

25.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

25.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayreuth's form might have worsened.

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illertissen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bayreuth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illertissen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bayreuth - Illertissen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
25', 0 - 1, Glessing Y. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Zeller M. ⚽,
45+4', 0 - 3, Dehler M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
67', 0 - 4, Glessing Y. ⚽,
80', 1 - 4, Seidel A. ⚽,
84', 1 - 5, Glessing Y. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayreuth won 3.

Bayreuth is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Illertissen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bayreuth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Illertissen has had a series of home games.

Bayreuth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bayreuth won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:23. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayreuth won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:7. (average 2.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
German Regionalliga Bayern
24.07.25	Ansbach - Bayreuth	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.25	Bayreuth - Chemnitzer	1:3 ✺
11.07.25	Bayreuth - Erzgebirge Aue	2:4 ✺
06.07.25	Jahn Regensburg - Bayreuth	7:0 ✺
05.07.25	Ingolstadt - Bayreuth	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL
- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
25.07.25	Illertissen - Würzburger Kickers	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Illertissen	Canceled ✺
16.07.25	Illertissen - VfR Aalen	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	Illertissen - Ravensburg	3:1 ✺
02.07.25	Illertissen - Sonthofen	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 L?LWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
14.09.24	Bayreuth - Illertissen	1:0
01.03.24	Bayreuth - Illertissen	0:1
25.08.23	Illertissen - Bayreuth	3:1
29.04.22	Illertissen - Bayreuth	0:1
02.10.21	Bayreuth - Illertissen	4:2
07.03.20	Illertissen - Bayreuth	1:4
09.08.19	Bayreuth - Illertissen	7:2

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