Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2025, Friday


	Bayreuth		Greuther Fürth II

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.4	2.88
	2.27	3.55	2.92
	2.21	3.4	2.83
	2.28	3.5	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 (2.25)	3.46 ↑ (3.45)	2.86 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
41.1%

Draw
26.6%

Greuther Fürth II
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.4%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

24.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Greuther Fürth II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayreuth than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth II than the current prediction. (-1%)

Bayreuth - Greuther Fürth II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Abrangao D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Akhalaia L. ⚽,
83', 0 - 3, Meyer M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayreuth won 3.

Bayreuth has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Greuther Fürth II has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Bayreuth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bayreuth won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayreuth won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
German Regionalliga Bayern
13.09.25	Bayreuth - Eichstätt	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Schwaben Augsburg - Bayreuth	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Bayreuth - Buchbach	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Bayern Munich II - Bayreuth	3:2 ✺
16.08.25	Bayreuth - Hankofen-Hailing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWLW
- Greuther Fürth II
German Regionalliga Bayern
13.09.25	Greuther Fürth II - Schwaben Augsburg	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Greuther Fürth II - Eichstätt	0:1 ✺
22.08.25	Hankofen-Hailing - Greuther Fürth II	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Greuther Fürth II - Buchbach	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Illertissen - Greuther Fürth II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
09.03.25	Greuther Fürth II - Bayreuth	3:1
30.08.24	Bayreuth - Greuther Fürth II	1:0
06.04.24	Greuther Fürth II - Bayreuth	0:1
22.09.23	Bayreuth - Greuther Fürth II	2:2
06.11.21	Bayreuth - Greuther Fürth II	4:0
23.07.21	Greuther Fürth II - Bayreuth	0:5
21.09.19	Greuther Fürth II - Bayreuth	2:0

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