Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday


	Bayreuth		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	4.4	4.1	1.55
	7.1	4.95	1.33
	6.78	4.43	1.36
				Watch
	8.4	4.5	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.67 ↑ (2.98)	4.5 ↑ (3.85)	1.39 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayreuth
13.7%

Draw
20.4%

Erzgebirge Aue
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

23.8%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayreuth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bayreuth's form might have worsened.

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erzgebirge Aue's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Bayreuth - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Aue (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Bayreuth (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Erzgebirge Aue will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Erzgebirge Aue will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayreuth (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Aue (votes: 15 - 88.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Seiffert M. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Majetschak E. ⚽,
33', 0 - 3, Malone R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
70', 0 - 4, Malone R. ⚽,
77', 1 - 4, Quirin L. ⚽,
85', 2 - 4, Stefandl M. ⚽,

Preview

Bayreuth is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bayreuth has had a series of away games.

In this match, Aue is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayreuth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:7. (average 1.5:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Bayreuth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Bayreuth
Club Friendly
06.07.25	Jahn Regensburg - Bayreuth	7:0 ✺
05.07.25	Ingolstadt - Bayreuth	6:1 ✺
21.06.25	ATSV Erlangen - Bayreuth	0:6 ✺
German Regionalliga Bayern
17.05.25	Bayreuth - Ansbach	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	Hankofen-Hailing - Bayreuth	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Erzgebirge Aue
Club Friendly
05.07.25	Glenavon - Erzgebirge Aue	0:2 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
17.05.25	1860 München - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
10.05.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Sandhausen	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Verl - Erzgebirge Aue	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
27.05.23	Bayreuth - Erzgebirge Aue	3:3
21.01.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Bayreuth	4:0

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