Match Info

Date: 17 September 2020, Thursday


	Bačka Topola		FCSB

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	1.83	Watch
	3	3.4	2.1
	2.6	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.16
	2.7	3.68	2.49
	3.6	3.4	1.91	Watch
	2.66	3.78	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.77)	3.5 ↑ (3.48)	2.19 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bačka Topola
30.8%

Draw
26.6%

FCSB
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

26.2%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

20.4%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bačka Topola's performance.

FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and FCSB might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bačka Topola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+20.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FCSB could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.1%	5.6%	18.3%

Bačka Topola - FCSB Predictions

Users Predictions: 180 users predict this event. Bačka Topola will win (votes: 137 - 76.1%). FCSB will win (votes: 33 - 18.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bačka Topola: 69.9% – 82.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Bačka Topola is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches FCSB is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSC Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga
12.09.20	Bačka Topola - Radnički Niš	1:3 ✺
30.08.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Bačka Topola	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Petrocub-Hîncești - Bačka Topola	0:2 ✺
Serbian Superliga
21.08.20	Bačka Topola - Metalac	2:3 ✺
16.08.20	Bačka - Bačka Topola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLT
- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
12.09.20	Voluntari - FCSB	2:1 ✺
30.08.20	FCSB - Viitorul Constanța	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	FCSB - Shirak Gyumri	3:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
22.08.20	Astra Giurgiu - FCSB	0:3 ✺
01.08.20	FCSB - Astra Giurgiu	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWW?

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