Match Info

ROMANIA: LIGA 1 - ROUND 28

Date: 29 February 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Anghel Iordanescu (Voluntari)

Referee: Coltescu S. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Voluntari		FCSB

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.5	Watch
	5.5	3.9	1.53	Watch
	6	3.75	1.53	Watch
	5.8	3.9	1.51
	6.25	4.09	1.55
	5.8	3.8	1.5
	5.72	3.94	1.57	Watch
	5.6	3.9	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.8 ↑ (4.04)	3.91 ↑ (3.46)	1.53 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Voluntari
15.9%

Draw
23.6%

FCSB
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

26.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

26.4%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Voluntari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Voluntari's form might have worsened.

FCSB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FCSB's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Voluntari than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Voluntari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FCSB, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.4%	2.2%	93.3%

Voluntari - FCSB Predictions

Users Predictions: FCSB will win (42 of 45 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.04% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Fernandez J. (G) 24. Ricardinho (C) 26. Turda G. 34. Matricardi P. 23. Carnat N. 22. Rata V. 4. Crepulja L. 9. Dumiter A. 20. Popescu R. 17. Andrei D. 77. Nemec A.	32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 2. Cretu V. 30. Ngezana S. 5. Dawa J. 33. Radunovic R. 19. Luis Phelipe 8. Sut A. 16. Lixandru M. 25. Baluta A. 10. Popescu O. 7. Coman F.
Substitutes
7. Aliji N. 5. Armas I. 28. Cascini B. 80. Ciobanu A. 25. Cocian A. 6. Droppa L. 11. Florea D. 19. Mustaca R. 2. Paz C. 8. Radut M. 1. Valceanu O. (G) 72. Voican R.	42. Alhassan B. 11. Miculescu D. 18. Pandele A. 3. Pantiru I. 98. Popa D. 23. Popescu O. 80. Radaslavescu E. 22. Toma M. 1. Udrea M. (G) 99. Vlad A. (G)
Coaches
Dica N. C.	Charalambous E.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Championship Group: )).

Voluntari is Liga 1 (Relegation Group )

FCSB is Qualified for Liga 1 (Championship Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Voluntari won 0.

Voluntari is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

FCSB is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

FCSB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match FCSB is a favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Voluntari won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25-32.

Including matches at home between the teams Voluntari won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Voluntari
Romanian SuperLiga
26.02.24	Universitatea Craiova - Voluntari	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Voluntari - UTA Arad	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Politehnica Iași - Voluntari	0:0 ✺
05.02.24	Voluntari - Hermannstadt	1:1 ✺
29.01.24	CFR Cluj - Voluntari	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTTL
- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
25.02.24	FCSB - Botoșani	3:2 ✺
19.02.24	Universitatea Cluj - FCSB	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	FCSB - Sepsi OSK	1:0 ✺
05.02.24	FCSB - Farul Constanța	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Universitatea Craiova - FCSB	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
22.10.23	FCSB - Voluntari	0:0
12.02.23	Voluntari - FCSB	1:2
12.09.22	FCSB - Voluntari	1:1
14.05.22	Voluntari - FCSB	2:2
11.04.22	FCSB - Voluntari	4:0
06.03.22	FCSB - Voluntari	1:0
07.11.21	Voluntari - FCSB	0:0

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