Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 29 August 2024, Thursday

Location: TSC Arena (Bačka Topola)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 4
Israel	Sport 1
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1


	Bačka Topola		Maccabi Tel Aviv

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.8	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.98
	3.4	3.75	2
	3.78	3.77	2
	3.74	3.79	1.93	Watch
	3.4	3.5	1.91
	3.69	3.7	1.96	Watch
	3.4	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.8)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	1.97 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bačka Topola
26.5%

Draw
25.5%

Maccabi Tel Aviv
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

25.3%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

24.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bačka Topola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bačka Topola's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Tel Aviv's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bačka Topola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	18.7%	56.2%

Bačka Topola - Maccabi Tel Aviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Bačka Topola will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Maccabi Tel Aviv will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maccabi Tel Aviv: 32% – 80.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ilic V. (G) 77. Vlalukin J. 31. Capan L. 5. Stevanovic D. 30. Petrovic N. (C) 7. Radin M. 27. Pantovic M. 6. Pejic A. 35. Djakovac I. 10. Cirkovic A. 9. Lazetic M.	90. Mishpati R. (G) 29. Jehezkel S. 6. Asante T. 13. Shlomo R. 3. Revivo R. 42. Peretz D. (C) 14. van Overeem J. 16. Kanichowsky G. 77. Davida O. 9. Turgeman D. 20. Addo H.
Substitutes
23. Jorgic N. (G) 8. Jovanovic S. 22. Jovanovic S. 4. Krstic V. 29. Mboungou V. 11. Milosavljevic I. 1. Simic N. (G) 88. Sos B. 14. Stanic P.	30. Baltaxa M. 10. Biton D. 55. Bitton N. 2. Cohen A. 27. Davidzada O. 33. Layous H. 19. Madmon E. 22. Melika O. (G) 5. Nachmias I. 36. Shahar I. 28. Sissokho I. 7. Zahavi E.
Coaches
Klafuric D.	Lazetic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2', 0 - 1, Addo H. ⚽, van Overeem J. (A),
6', 0 - 2, Addo H. ⚽, Turgeman D. (A),
9', Capan L. ↓, Krstic V. ↑,
12', 0 - 3, Asante T. ⚽,
15', Radin M. 🟨,
22', Stevanovic D. 🟨,
40', Jehezkel S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Radin M. ↓, Milosavljevic I. ↑,
46', Lazetic M. ↓, Stanic P. ↑,
46', Davida O. ↓, Layous H. ↑,
46', Jehezkel S. ↓, Nachmias I. ↑,
54', Djakovac I. 🟨,
56', 0 - 4, Turgeman D. ⚽, Revivo R. (A),
60', Djakovac I. ↓, Mboungou V. ↑,
64', Shlomo R. ↓, Bitton N. ↑,
64', Turgeman D. ↓, Madmon E. ↑,
64', Peretz D. ↓, Shahar I. ↑,
71', Cirkovic A. ↓, Sos B. ↑,
89', 0 - 5, Shahar I. ⚽, Revivo R. (A),
90+1', Mboungou V. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 5, Mboungou V. ⚽, Sos B. (A),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.

Bačka Topola is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maccabi Tel Aviv is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bačka Topola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Maccabi Tel Aviv have a series of home games.

Maccabi Tel Aviv will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bačka Topola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSC Bačka Topola
UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bačka Topola	3:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
16.08.24	Bačka Topola - OFK Beograd	0:1 ✺
11.08.24	Vojvodina - Bačka Topola	1:3 ✺
04.08.24	Bačka Topola - Spartak Subotica	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Radnički Niš - Bačka Topola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWTL
- Maccabi Tel Aviv
UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bačka Topola	3:0 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
18.08.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
15.08.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Panevėžys	3:0 ✺
06.08.24	Panevėžys - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
31.07.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - FCSB	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
22.08.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Bačka Topola	3:0

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