Match Info

Super Lig - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Tupras Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Beşiktaş		Samsunspor

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.07	3.44	3.44
	1.8	3.84	4.38
	1.76	3.82	4.39	Watch
	2.06	3.6	3.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.76)	3.64 ↓ (3.82)	3.91 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beşiktaş
49.4%

Draw
26.2%

Samsunspor
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24.7%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

28.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beşiktaş, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samsunspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Beşiktaş - Samsunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Beşiktaş will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Samsunspor (2.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Beşiktaş (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Samsunspor (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Beşiktaş (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Destanoglu E. (G) 25. Sazdagi G. 3. Gabriel Paulista 53. Topcu E. 33. Yilmaz R. 4. Ndidi W. (C) 8. Ucan S. 11. Under C. 18. Cerny V. 19. Toure E. B. 9. Abraham T.	1. Kocuk O. (G) 18. Yavru Z. (C) 24. Borevkovic T. 4. Van Drongelen R. 17. Tomasson L. 29. Makoumbou A. 11. Kilinc E. 21. Holse C. 6. Aydin E. 7. Musaba A. 19. Ndiaye C.
Substitutes
22. Bulut T. 35. Djalo T. 1. Gunok M. (G) 26. Jota Silva 39. Jurasek D. 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 7. Rashica M. 52. Sahin D. 5. Tiknaz D. E. 14. Uduokhai F.	8. Aydogdu S. 55. Cift Y. E. 28. Gonul S. 9. Marius 2. Mendes J. 12. Posiadala A. (G) 48. Toruz E. B. (G) 22. Yaldir P.
Coaches
Yalcin S.	Reis T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Holse C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, Under C. (Pen),
64', Topcu E. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Ndiaye C. ⚽,
70', Abraham T. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
70', Under C. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
71', Aydin E. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
81', Ndiaye C. ↓, Marius ↑,
81', Musaba A. ↓, Yaldir P. ↑,
82', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
84', Cerny V. ↓, Tiknaz D. E. ↑,
87', Holse C. ↓, Aydogdu S. ↑,
87', Kilinc E. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
89', Ucan S. ↓, Kayra Yilmaz K. ↑,
90+1', Gabriel Paulista 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Beşiktaş has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Samsunspor is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Samsunspor has had a series of home games.

In this match, Beşiktaş is the team to beat.

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Rafa Silva (Inactive) Svensson J. (Inactive) Uysal N. (Inactive)

There will not play in Samsunspor: Ceesay E. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly T. (Knee Injury) Ntcham O. (Hamstring Injury) Sousa A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Hekimoglu M. (Injury) Ucan S. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beşiktaş won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Beşiktaş won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
08.11.25	Antalyaspor - Beşiktaş	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	2:3 ✺
26.10.25	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
22.10.25	Konyaspor - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Beşiktaş - Gençlerbirliği	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTWL
- Samsunspor
Turkish Super League
09.11.25	Samsunspor - Eyüpspor	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Samsunspor - Hamrun Spartans	3:0 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.11.25	Konyaspor - Samsunspor	1:3 ✺
27.10.25	Samsunspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Samsunspor - Dynamo Kyiv	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
18.01.25	Beşiktaş - Samsunspor	0:0
11.08.24	Samsunspor - Beşiktaş	0:2
13.04.24	Beşiktaş - Samsunspor	1:1
26.11.23	Samsunspor - Beşiktaş	1:2
01.04.12	Beşiktaş - Samsunspor	0:1

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