Match Info

Super Lig - Round 10

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV6
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 8
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
South-america	ESPN 6 South
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+


	Kasımpaşa		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.62	Watch
	4.72	4.11	1.64
	4.26	3.97	1.8
	4.11	3.92	1.79	Watch
	4.44	3.89	1.77	Watch
	4.1	3.85	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (4.11)	3.96 ↑ (3.92)	1.73 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasımpaşa
21.7%

Draw
23.8%

Beşiktaş
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

24.1%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

23.8%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	7.7%	76.9%

Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1 - Beşiktaş (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Kasımpaşa (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Beşiktaş will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 20%). Beşiktaş (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gianniotis A. (G) 20. Opoku N. 41. Szalai At. (C) 14. Espinoza J. 2. Winck C. 8. Cafu 16. Baldursson A. F. 21. Frimpong G. 7. Fall M. 17. Kanatsizkus K. 34. Diabate F.	30. Destanoglu E. (G) 25. Sazdagi G. 35. Djalo T. 53. Topcu E. 33. Yilmaz R. 4. Ndidi W. 10. Kokcu O. (C) 11. Under C. 18. Cerny V. 19. Toure E. B. 9. Abraham T.
Substitutes
4. Arous A. 29. Aydin T. 9. Barasi Y. 72. Eratilla Y. 77. Gueye P. 11. Kol A. 5. Mujde A. 33. Tasdemir E. 6. Ustundag C. 25. Yanar A. (G)	22. Bulut T. 3. Gabriel Paulista 1. Gunok M. (G) 91. Hekimoglu M. 26. Jota Silva 39. Jurasek D. 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 7. Rashica M. 8. Ucan S. 14. Uduokhai F.
Coaches
Arveladze S.	Yalcin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Under C. ⚽, Cerny V. (A),
32', Abraham T. (Pen),
33', 1 - 1, Winck C. ⚽, Frimpong G. (A),
36', Under C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Kanatsizkus K. ↓, Gueye P. ↑,
66', Cafu ↓, Ustundag C. ↑,
75', Topcu E. 🟨,
75', Under C. ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
75', Abraham T. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
84', Cerny V. ↓, Hekimoglu M. ↑,
84', Diabate F. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
88', Espinoza J. 🟨,
90+4', Winck C. ↓, Arous A. ↑,
90+5', Fall M. ↓, Tasdemir E. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 3.

Recent performances by Kasımpaşa have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Beşiktaş is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kasımpaşa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Beşiktaş is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Cetinkaya E. (Inactive) Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Cerny V. (Inactive) Djalo T. (Inactive) Jota Silva (Inactive) Sazdagi G. (Inactive) Tiknaz D. E. (Knee Injury) Toure E. B. (Injury) Under C. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 38:37. (average 1.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.9:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
20.10.25	Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Kasımpaşa - Konyaspor	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Kasımpaşa	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
17.09.25	Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LTWTT
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
22.10.25	Konyaspor - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Beşiktaş - Gençlerbirliği	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Galatasaray - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
29.09.25	Beşiktaş - Kocaelispor	3:1 ✺
24.09.25	Kayserispor - Beşiktaş	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
07.04.25	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	1:1
02.11.24	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	1:3
26.05.24	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	2:1
05.01.24	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	1:3
03.06.23	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	2:4
07.01.23	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	2:1
25.04.22	Beşiktaş - Kasımpaşa	0:3

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