Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Beasain		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.85	2.9
	2.39	2.83	3.26
	2.31	3.04	3.08
	2.34	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.6)	2.93 ↑ (2.87)	3.05 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beasain
38.9%

Draw
31.2%

Arenas Club de Getxo
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31.2%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

32.7%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beasain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beasain that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenas Club de Getxo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Beasain - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Beasain is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Arenas Club is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Beasain won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Beasain
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.04.23	Racing Rioja - Beasain	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Beasain - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Arnedo - Beasain	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Beasain - Alfaro	5:0 ✺
05.03.23	Brea - Beasain	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWTWT
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
01.04.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - UD Logroñés Promesas	5:1 ✺
26.03.23	Alfaro - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Utebo	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Tarazona - Arenas Club de Getxo	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Izarra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
27.11.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Beasain	1:0

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