Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Arnedo		Beasain

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.3	1.8
	4	3	1.9
	3.58	3.35	1.85
	3.92	3.44	1.85
	4	3.3	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (2.7)	3.28 ↑ (3)	1.85 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnedo
23.5%

Draw
27.6%

Beasain
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

30%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

30.7%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arnedo's form might have worsened.

Beasain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beasain's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arnedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beasain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arnedo - Beasain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Arnedo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Beasain is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Beasain will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnedo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arnedo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.03.23	Arnedo - Brea	0:1 ✺
05.03.23	Cirbonero - Arnedo	3:2 ✺
26.02.23	Arnedo - Mutilvera	0:4 ✺
18.02.23	San Juan - Arnedo	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Arnedo - Alavés B	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTL
- SD Beasain
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.03.23	Beasain - Alfaro	5:0 ✺
05.03.23	Brea - Beasain	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Beasain - Utebo	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Cirbonero - Beasain	1:3 ✺
11.02.23	Beasain - Tarazona	1:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.10.22	Beasain - Arnedo	3:1

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