Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Becerril		Atlético Mansillés

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.15	4.05
	1.86	3.19	4.15
	2.39	2.78	3.30	Watch
	1.85	3	4
	1.85	3.13	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.05)	3.05 ↑ (3.04)	3.93 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Becerril
46.8%

Draw
30%

Atlético Mansillés
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

29.9%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

30.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Becerril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Atlético Mansillés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mansillés than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Becerril - Atlético Mansillés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, Mario Blanco ⚽,
69', 0 - 2, Celada R. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Becerril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Becerril is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Becerril won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mansilles	4	3	1	0	6:2	4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Becerril - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.24%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Becerril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
03.04.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Becerril	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Becerril - Numancia B	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Palencia CA - Becerril	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Becerril - Villaralbo	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Colegios Diocesanos - Becerril	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTTW
- Atlético Mansillés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
04.04.26	Atlético Mansillés - Arandina	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Bembibre - Atlético Mansillés	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Atlético Mansillés - Santa Marta Tormes	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	La Virgen del Camino - Atlético Mansillés	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Mirandés B - Atlético Mansillés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
06.12.25	Atlético Mansillés - Becerril	2:2
29.09.24	Atlético Mansillés - Becerril	1:1

Becerril - Atlético Mansillés: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide