The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Palencia CA 60.4%
Draw 24.8%
Becerril 14.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.8%
28.4%
21.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.4%
25.5%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palencia CA's performance.
Becerril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Becerril might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Palencia CA - Becerril Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Antolin A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 1 - 1, Apa ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Palencia CA is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Becerril has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Becerril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Palencia CA is a strong favorite.
We predict that Palencia CA will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Palencia CA won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Palencia CA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).