Match Info

BELGIUM: Belgian Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Olympisch Stadion (Antwerp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	RTL Club, RTL Play
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Bold+
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
Netherlands	Sporza
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	DAZN 1
Spain	Gol Stadium
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Beerschot Wilrijk		Anderlecht

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.8	Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.65
	4.33	4	1.72
	4.72	4.08	1.64
	4.4	3.8	1.67
	4.56	4.1	1.7	Watch
	4.5	4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↓ (5.45)	3.93 ↓ (4.52)	1.7 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beerschot Wilrijk
21.2%

Draw
23.8%

Anderlecht
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

21%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

20.6%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anderlecht might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anderlecht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	19%	76.2%

Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Anderlecht will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Shinton N. (G) 2. Dagba C. 66. Tolis 3. Matthys H. 5. Mbe Soh L. 4. Plat B. 10. Verlinden T. 16. Al Ghamdi F. 8. Henderson E. 25. Colassin A. 17. Al Sahafi M.	26. Coosemans C. (G) 54. Sardella K. 4. Simic J. 32. Dendoncker L. 6. Augustinsson L. 23. Rits M. 17. Leoni T. 36. Dreyer A. 83. Degreef T. 27. Edozie S. 20. Vazquez L.
Substitutes
47. Cagro W. 6. Fayed O. 27. Keita C. 9. Kosiah A. 42. Martha A. 71. Matijas D. (G) 7. Reyners T. . Sahabo H. 26. Tshimanga D. 28. Weymans M.	7. Amuzu F. 12. Dolberg K. 71. Engwanda N. 25. Foket T. 11. Hazard T. 16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 73. Lapage A. 78. Tajaouart A. 63. Vanhoutte T. (G) 10. Verschaeren Y.
Coaches
Kuyt D.	Hubert D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Simic J. ⚽,
19', Tolis 🟨,
21', Rits M. 🟨,
45+1', Mbe Soh L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tolis ↓, Kosiah A. ↑,
46', Augustinsson L. ↓, Foket T. ↑,
69', Sardella K. ↓, Lapage A. ↑,
69', Degreef T. ↓, Hazard T. ↑,
69', Dreyer A. ↓, Amuzu F. ↑,
73', Mbe Soh L. ↓, Fayed O. ↑,
73', Colassin A. ↓, Keita C. ↑,
83', Vazquez L. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
84', Amuzu F. 🟨,
85', Verlinden T. 🟨,
90+5', Plat B. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Anderlecht is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Beerschot Wilrijk won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:20 (average 1.3:2.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Beerschot Wilrijk won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:12 (average 1.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.24	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Kortrijk	2:2 ✺
14.12.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Standard Liège	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Anderlecht - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
04.12.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - KV Mechelen	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTLW
- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.24	Anderlecht - Dender EH	2:3 ✺
22.12.24	Genk - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
15.12.24	Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Slavia Prague - Anderlecht	1:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.12.24	Anderlecht - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.12.24	Anderlecht - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:1
18.10.24	Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht	2:1
27.12.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht	0:7
24.10.21	Anderlecht - Beerschot Wilrijk	4:2
27.12.20	Anderlecht - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:0
22.11.20	Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht	2:1
Belgian Cup
25.09.19	Beerschot Wilrijk - Anderlecht	2:3 ET

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