Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht) 🌤️ ...

Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 4
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5, Sky Sport Mix
Belgium	21:00	RTBF Tipik, Sporza, Sporza, VRT Canvas
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5P
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	ESPN 3
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 3
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	21:00	RTL+, Sky Sport Mix
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Japan	04:00	Wowow Live
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	13:00	Disney+
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Paraguay	15:00	ESPN 3
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Philippines	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
South America	—	Claro Sports 2 Latin America, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 4, M+ Liga de Campeones 5, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	02:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter


	Anderlecht		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.60	2.35
	2.87	3.40	2.37
	2.95	3.60	2.35
	2.97	3.58	2.42
	2.98	3.63	2.38	Watch
	2.90	3.50	2.35
	3.02	3.59	2.26
	2.90	3.60	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.63)	3.56 ↓ (3.76)	2.37 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
32.6%

Draw
26.9%

Lyon
40.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.2%

25.3%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

25.7%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Anderlecht's performance.

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anderlecht that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lyon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	18%	67.2%

Anderlecht - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 9 - 15%). Lyon will win (votes: 41 - 68.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 56.5% – 80.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Lyon (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Lyon (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Anderlecht (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Anderlecht (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 4 - 40%). Lyon (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Coosemans C. (C) 79. Maamar A. 27. Petrot L. 12. Omobamidele A. 6. Augustinsson L. 8. Amane R. 24. Llansana E. 19. Aasgaard T. 10. Winkler M. 9. Cvetkovic M. 18. Ambros L.	40. Descamps R. (G) 21. Kluivert R. 22. Mata C. 19. Niakhate M. (C) 76. Ouedraogo M. 6. Tessmann T. 23. Morton T. 99. Nartey N. 26. Boudache K. 17. Openda L. 11. Nakamura K.
Substitutes
11. Antman O. 50. Barry K. 21. Bentayeb T. 83. Degreef T. 32. Heekeren J. (G) 68. Kalonji Kafumpata N. 55. Kana M. 61. Nga Kana J. 53. Ojea N. 5. Reabciuk O. 14. Sikan D. 29. Stroeykens M.	13. Athekame Z. 20. Bacher F. 25. Bengui J. (G) 2. Bidstrup M. 24. Duranville J. 1. Greif D. (G) 45. Himbert R. 18. Merah K. 7. Nuamah E. 10. Sulc P. 3. Tagliafico N. 8. Tolisso C.
Coaches
Bruno V.	Fonseca P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Nartey N. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Nakamura K. ⚽, Ouedraogo M. (A),
26', Niakhate M. 🟨,
44', Ouedraogo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Niakhate M. ↓, Bacher F. ↑,
46', Ouedraogo M. ↓, Tagliafico N. ↑,
46', Amane R. ↓, Kana M. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Cvetkovic M. ⚽, Maamar A. (A),
65', Openda L. ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
74', Nartey N. ↓, Bidstrup M. ↑,
74', Morton T. ↓, Tolisso C. ↑,
74', Aasgaard T. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
74', Ambros L. ↓, Sikan D. ↑,
85', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Antman O. ↑,
90+3', Augustinsson L. ↓, Ojea N. ↑,

Preview

Anderlecht is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lyon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lyon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Anderlecht: Camara I. (Foot Injury) Hey L. (Broken Leg) Koutsoupias I. (Off the roster) Sardella K. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Anderlecht: Ambros L. (Knock)

There are questionable in Lyon: Duranville J. (Muscle Injury) Hamdani A. (Inactive) Himbert R. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Anderlecht won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Including home match between the teams, Anderlecht won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lyon	3	2	0	1	5:6	-1	6
22	Anderlecht	3	1	0	2	4:3	1	3

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Lyon: 3.33% Anderlecht: 0.89%

Last Results with these Odds

Lyon - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 48.51%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
11.09.26	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Anderlecht - Genk	0:0 ✺
03.09.26	Anderlecht - Kortrijk	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.26	Anderlecht - Kairat	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWLW
- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
12.09.26	Paris FC - Lyon	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Lyon - Auxerre	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Lyon - Le Havre	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.08.26	Lyon - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
22.08.26	Toulouse - Lyon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.07.22	Anderlecht - Lyon	3:0

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