Match Info

Belgian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Olympisch Stadion (Antwerp)

Referee: van Damme K. (Bel)


	Beerschot Wilrijk		RAAL La Louvière

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.63	Watch
	2.55	3.3	2.75
	2.6	3.27	2.75
	2.58	3.23	2.73
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.57	3.14	2.74	Watch
	2.54	3.2	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.33)	3.16 ↓ (3.33)	2.69 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beerschot Wilrijk
36.1%

Draw
29.4%

RAAL La Louvière
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

27.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beerschot Wilrijk's performance.

RAAL La Louvière has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and RAAL La Louvière might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beerschot Wilrijk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RAAL La Louvière could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Beerschot Wilrijk - RAAL La Louvière Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk will win (votes: 4 - 50%). La Louvière will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beerschot Wilrijk: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Beerschot Wilrijk (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Shinton N. (G) 16. Labie A. 5. Mbe Soh L. 4. Plat B. 24. Jordanov E. 8. Van Eenoo L. 18. Sanusi R. (C) 11. Uzun E. 78. Haraguchi G. 7. van La Parra R. 15. Vula A.	1. De Schrevel C. (G) 19. Benavides D. 99. Okou Y. 13. Maisonneuve M. 25. Lamego D. 5. Lutonda T. 8. Gueulette S. (C) 10. Pau M. 98. Maes O. 9. Guindo M. 7. Fall P. M.
Substitutes
45. Brahic E. 10. Claes G. 1. Gies X. (G) 3. Govaers M. 19. Guendouz S. 76. Gyamfi D. 21. Haj Mohamed A. 17. Van Himbeeck A. 32. Wright-Phillips D.	22. Afriyie J. 6. Beka Beka A. 3. Gillot N. 23. Ito J. 29. Mendy O. 65. Ndefe M. J. 21. Peano M. (G) 26. Riou M. 51. Sidibe S.
Coaches
Messoudi M.	Taquin F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Fall P. M. ⚽, Benavides D. (A),
38', 0 - 2, Fall P. M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Maes O. 🟨,
61', Uzun E. ↓, Wright-Phillips D. ↑,
63', Lutonda T. ↓, Gillot N. ↑,
63', Pau M. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
72', Labie A. 🟨,
73', Guindo M. ↓, Afriyie J. ↑,
76', Maes O. 🟨,
78', Labie A. ↓, Brahic E. ↑,
78', van La Parra R. ↓, Claes G. ↑,
78', Haraguchi G. ↓, Gyamfi D. ↑,
79', Afriyie J. ↓, Riou M. ↑,
84', Gillot N. 🟨,
88', Mbe Soh L. ↓, Haj Mohamed A. ↑,
89', Brahic E. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Vula A. ⚽, Van Eenoo L. (A),
90+8', Gyamfi D. 🟨,

Preview

Beerschot Wilrijk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, La Louvière has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

La Louvière may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Challenger Pro League
28.11.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - RFC Liège	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	RWDM Brussels - Beerschot Wilrijk	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Kortrijk	1:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
30.10.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Westerlo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWLW
- RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.11.25	Charleroi - RAAL La Louvière	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	RAAL La Louvière - Anderlecht	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Royal Antwerp - RAAL La Louvière	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	RAAL La Louvière - Cercle Brugge	2:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
29.10.25	Heist - RAAL La Louvière	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLLWW

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