Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 14

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Neuville (Charleroi)

Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)


	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne		Beerschot Wilrijk

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.8	1.44	Watch
	6.7	4.45	1.42
	6.2	4.77	1.44
	6.52	3.96	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.42 ↑ (6.2)	4.25 ↓ (4.27)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
14.4%

Draw
21.8%

Beerschot Wilrijk
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

21.5%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

20.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Beerschot Wilrijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beerschot Wilrijk than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

ROC de Charleroi Marchienne - Beerschot Wilrijk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beerschot Wilrijk (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Beerschot Wilrijk will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Herrerin I. (G) 55. Corneillie V. 12. Ramalho J. 3. Ndedi Kegne K. J. 6. Kis K. 2. Sarkic O. 17. Cachbach M. 49. Kima Beyissa K. 11. Florica L. 81. Dailly N. 8. Lake T.	33. Shinton N. (G) 24. Jordanov E. 4. Plat B. 5. Mbe Soh L. 28. Weymans M. 78. Haraguchi G. 8. Van Eenoo L. 2. Dagba C. 19. Guendouz S. 10. Claes G. 15. Vula A.
Substitutes
7. Cisse M. 38. Diallo T. 10. Ion R. 4. Jahic H. 13. Medfai M. 28. Spago E. 5. Thea A. 1. Vitasek D. (G)	45. Brahic E. 1. Gies X. (G) 76. Gyamfi D. 16. Labie A. 18. Sanusi R. 11. Uzun E. 17. Van Himbeeck A. 7. van La Parra R. 41. Vargas O. 32. Wright-Phillips D.
Coaches
Mercier A.	Messoudi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Mbe Soh L. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Vula A. ⚽, Dagba C. (A),
21', Cachbach M. 🟨,
37', Weymans M. 🟨,
45', Vula A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Florica L. ↓, Medfai M. ↑,
50', Weymans M. ↓, Vargas O. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Vargas O. ⚽, Jordanov E. (A),
72', Lake T. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
75', Claes G. ↓, Sanusi R. ↑,
75', Guendouz S. ↓, van La Parra R. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Ndedi Kegne K. J. ⚽,
84', Kis K. ↓, Diallo T. ↑,
84', Sarkic O. ↓, Thea A. ↑,
88', Dagba C. 🟨,
89', Kima Beyissa K. ↓, Jahic H. ↑,
90+3', Jahic H. 🟨,
90+4', Haraguchi G. ↓, Labie A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: )).

In recent matches, ROCCM has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Beerschot Wilrijk is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Beerschot Wilrijk is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian Challenger Pro League
09.11.25	Francs Borains - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - RFC Liège	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
28.10.25	Dender EH - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	4:2 ET ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.10.25	Brugge U23 - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Eupen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WTLTL
- FCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Belgian Challenger Pro League
09.11.25	RWDM Brussels - Beerschot Wilrijk	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Kortrijk	1:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
30.10.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Westerlo	3:2 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
26.10.25	Lommel - Beerschot Wilrijk	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Beveren	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWWT

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