Match Info

Date: 4 November 2020, Wednesday


	Beijing EG		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.5	Watch
	1.78	3.2	4.25
	1.8	3.05	4.5
	1.85	3.15	3.95
	1.93	3.33	4.41
	1.88	3.2	3.9
	1.92	3.46	3.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.81)	3.23 ↓ (3.26)	4.05 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing EG
48.9%

Draw
28.4%

Liaoning Tieren
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

28.1%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

18.3%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing EG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing EG than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beijing EG that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liaoning Tieren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Beijing EG - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Beijing EG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Beijing EG is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing EG
Chinese Jia League
31.10.20	Guizhou - Beijing EG	2:1 ✺
28.10.20	Beijing EG - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	1:1 ✺
25.10.20	Beijing EG - Beijing Renhe	3:0 ✺
15.10.20	Beijing EG - Suzhou Dongwu	4:0 ✺
11.10.20	Taizhou Yuanda - Beijing EG	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTWWT
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
01.11.20	Liaoning Tieren - Shenzhen Peng City	0:0 ✺
29.10.20	Beijing Renhe - Liaoning Tieren	2:3 ✺
24.10.20	Liaoning Tieren - Guizhou	0:3 ✺
15.10.20	Liaoning Tieren - Zhejiang Professional	1:5 ✺
11.10.20	Jiangxi Lushan - Liaoning Tieren	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWLLW

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