Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 22

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Ruichang Sports Park Stadium (Jiujiang)


	Jiangxi Lushan		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	4	1.49
	5.5	4	1.5	Watch
	5.6	4.35	1.53
	5.78	4.18	1.53	Watch
	5.5	3.9	1.5
	5.72	4	1.49	Watch
	5.5	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↑ (4.19)	4.06 ↑ (3.54)	1.51 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiangxi Lushan
16.5%

Draw
22.6%

Liaoning Tieren
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.3%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

25.9%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiangxi Lushan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jiangxi Lushan's form might have worsened.

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jiangxi Lushan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Jiangxi Lushan - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wang Qi (G) 24. Du Junpeng 13. Zhang Yanjun 5. Nuer X. 28. Muhta Muzapar 10. Willie 11. Brown T. 37. Wang J. 36. Zhang Junzhe 33. Kang Zhenjie 29. Fortes F.	20. Liu Weiguo (G) 36. Tian D. 24. Musa S. I. 2. Gui Zihan 40. Ruan Qilong 5. Lin Longchang 25. Kouame A. S. 41. Zheng Zhiyun 19. Gao Haisheng 22. Kunimoto T. 15. Joao Carlos
Substitutes
44. Abdukerim Qaharman 19. Chen Junxu (G) 14. Chen Yunhua 30. Gao Mingyi 16. Hu Jiaqi 35. Li Jiahao 6. Song Ziwenhao 7. Wu Linfeng 23. Yao Zixuan 26. Zhang Xiang 4. Zhu Mingxin	44. Chen Y. 26. Deng Biao 6. Duan Yunzi 37. Jiaming Z. 31. Jiang Feng 27. Liu Ziming 1. Li Xuebo (G) 32. Mao Kaiyu 30. Qian Junhao 10. Yang Jian 21. Zhan Sainan
Coaches
Yue S.	Li J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Lin Longchang 🟨,
37', Gui Zihan ↓, Chen Y. ↑,
41', Du Junpeng 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, Brown T. ⚽, Kang Zhenjie (A),
62', Zheng Zhiyun ↓, Duan Yunzi ↑,
66', Fortes F. ↓, Zhu Mingxin ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Chen Y. ⚽, Kouame A. S. (A),
75', Nuer X. ↓, Song Ziwenhao ↑,
75', Kang Zhenjie ↓, Chen Yunhua ↑,
82', Kunimoto T. ↓, Yang Jian ↑,
86', 🟨,
89', Ruan Qilong 🟨,
90+5', Wang J. ↓, Hu Jiaqi ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Jiangxi Lushan won 2.

Jiangxi Lushan is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Liaoning Tieren is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Liaoning Tieren have a series of home games.

In this match Liaoning Tieren is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Jiangxi Lushan won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Jiangxi Lushan won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Jia League
31.08.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Yunnan Yukun - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Ningbo Professional - Jiangxi Lushan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TLWLL
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
01.09.24	Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Young Boy	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Liaoning Tieren	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	5:1 ✺
20.07.24	Liaoning Tieren - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
14.07.24	Liaoning Tieren - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
20.04.24	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	2:1
28.10.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Liaoning Tieren	3:1
15.07.23	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	3:1
18.08.22	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	2:0
30.07.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Liaoning Tieren	3:1
04.10.21	Jiangxi Lushan - Liaoning Tieren	1:2
16.09.21	Liaoning Tieren - Jiangxi Lushan	0:1

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