Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 8

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Aveiro (Aveiro)


	Beira-Mar		Guarda Desportiva

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.75	7.25
	1.4	4	5.6
	1.32	4.6	7.2
	1.3	5.04	9.19
	1.3	4.85	8.1
	1.34	4.8	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.41)	4.67 ↑ (4.2)	7.49 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beira-Mar
68.4%

Draw
19.5%

Guarda Desportiva
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

21.5%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

13.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beira-Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Guarda Desportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beira-Mar than the current prediction. (-29.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beira-Mar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda Desportiva than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarda Desportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Beira-Mar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guarda Desportiva has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Beira-Mar is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Beira-Mar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.11.22	Lusitânia - Beira-Mar	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
09.11.22	Beira-Mar - Pevidem	3:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.11.22	Beira-Mar - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	Salgueiros 08 - Beira-Mar	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Beira-Mar - Rebordosa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTLL
- Guarda Desportiva
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Marítimo B	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Resende	0:3 ✺
30.10.22	Lusitânia - Guarda Desportiva	4:1 ✺
23.10.22	Guarda Desportiva - Gondomar	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Salgueiros 08 - Guarda Desportiva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTL

Beira-Mar - Guarda Desportiva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide