Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 21

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Aveiro (Aveiro)


	Beira-Mar		Gondomar

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.5	4.6
	1.57	3.58	5.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.27)	3.54 ↑ (2.97)	5.26 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beira-Mar
57%

Draw
25.7%

Gondomar
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.6%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

31.2%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beira-Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beira-Mar's performance.

Gondomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gondomar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beira-Mar than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beira-Mar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gondomar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Beira Mar - Gondomar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Beira-Mar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beira-Mar won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.2:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Beira-Mar won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Beira-Mar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.02.25	Marítimo B - Beira-Mar	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Beira-Mar - Cinfães	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Coimbrões - Beira-Mar	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Beira-Mar - Marco 09	0:3 ✺
26.01.25	Camacha - Beira-Mar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTLW
- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
23.02.25	Gondomar - Machico	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Guarda FC - Gondomar	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Gondomar - Salgueiros 08	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	União Lamas - Gondomar	4:0 ✺
26.01.25	Gondomar - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.11.24	Gondomar - Beira-Mar	0:2
03.03.24	Gondomar - Beira-Mar	3:2
05.11.23	Beira-Mar - Gondomar	0:0
19.02.23	Gondomar - Beira-Mar	0:2
05.11.22	Beira-Mar - Gondomar	0:0

Beira-Mar - Gondomar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide