Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Teddy Stadium (Jerusalem)

Referee: Klein A. (Isr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 2


	Beitar Jerusalem		Ironi Kiryat Shmona

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.41	4.45	6.3
	1.43	4.66	6.92
	1.19	5.36	23.99	Watch
	1.4	4.87	6.67	Watch
	1.45	4.28	5.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)	4.73 ↑ (4.29)	9.36 ↑ (5.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beitar Jerusalem
69.6%

Draw
20.2%

Ironi Kiryat Shmona
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.8%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

21.3%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beitar Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beitar Jerusalem's performance.

Ironi Kiryat Shmona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ironi Kiryat Shmona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beitar Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beitar Jerusalem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ironi Kiryat Shmona than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ironi Kiryat Shmona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Kiryat Shmona Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Beitar Jerusalem will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ironi Kiryat Shmona will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ironi Kiryat Shmona (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Miguel Silva (C) 18. Morozov G. 4. Carabali B. 44. Gadrani L. 29. Mendy A. 42. Tavares A. 15. Micha D. 77. Atzili O. 7. Shua Y. 10. Yona A. 9. Kalu J.	19. Tenenbaum D. (C) 20. Darwish O. 14. Goldenberg H. 4. Bangoura S. 26. Ljubisavljevic N. 32. David S. 70. Martinez C. 7. Mordechai Y. 9. Ugarriza A. 87. Abu Rumi M. 22. Alli W. M.
Substitutes
6. Ben Shimol Z. 16. Cohen Y. 20. Dahan O. 14. Elimelech R. 28. Hajaj I. 24. Hugi D. 11. Muzie T. 22. Ozer Y. (G) 36. Zargary A.	12. Al Halabi J. 21. Avraham A. 6. Benbenishti O. 44. Deri L. 25. Karadi Y. 10. Sheretsky A. 18. Shnaper O. 28. Vaier I.
Coaches
Itzhaki B.	Barda S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', Tavares A. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Yona A. ⚽, Morozov G. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Atzili O. ⚽, Micha D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Goldenberg H. ↓, Deri L. ↑,
48', Tavares A. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Martinez C. (Pen),
58', Micha D. ↓, Zargary A. ↑,
58', Shua Y. ↓, Muzie T. ↑,
64', David S. 🟨,
68', Alli W. M. ↓, Al Halabi J. ↑,
69', Muzie T. 🟨,
70', Gadrani L. ↓, Hugi D. ↑,
70', Kalu J. ↓, Dahan O. ↑,
75', Mordechai Y. ↓, Sheretsky A. ↑,
85', Atzili O. ↓, Hajaj I. ↑,
86', Bangoura S. ↓, Vaier I. ↑,
87', Darwish O. ↓, Avraham A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beitar Jerusalem won 2.

Beitar Jerusalem is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ironi Kiryat Shmona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Beitar Jerusalem is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Beitar Jerusalem: Cohen G. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Beitar Jerusalem: Yarin L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beitar Jerusalem won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Beitar Jerusalem won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:13. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beitar Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
15.09.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Beitar Jerusalem	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Maccabi Haifa	0:0 ✺
25.08.25	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Beitar Jerusalem	1:2 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
18.08.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Haifa	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Riga	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWWW
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Israeli Ligat haAl
13.09.25	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Maccabi Bnei Raina	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Petah Tikva	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	2:1 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
16.08.25	Maccabi Netanya - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Ironi Tiberias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
18.01.25	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Beitar Jerusalem	0:3
05.10.24	Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	1:1
13.05.23	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Beitar Jerusalem	3:2
04.02.23	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Beitar Jerusalem	0:3
Israeli Toto Cup
07.12.22	Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	1:3
Israeli Ligat haAl
15.10.22	Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	2:0
14.05.22	Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	3:3

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