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Current Win Probability
Hapoel Petah Tikva 11.9%
Draw 18.5%
Beitar Jerusalem 69.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19.3%
22.9%
57.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.9%
21.3%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Petah Tikva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Petah Tikva's form might have worsened.
Beitar Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beitar Jerusalem's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Petah Tikva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beitar Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beitar Jerusalem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hapoel Petah Tikva - Beitar Jerusalem Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Katz O. (C) 12. Israeli S. 5. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 20. Israelov O. 3. Shalom H. 77. Cle 29. Amian B. 8. Altman T. 7. Levy R. 9. Bile E. 26. Kimvuidi K.
55. Miguel Silva (G) 2. Antwi N. 4. Carabali B. 44. Gadrani L. 11. Muzie T. 30. Yosefi T. 40. Boris Enow 80. Serna A. 77. Atzili O. 19. Weissman S. 7. Shua Y. (C)
Substitutes
15. Asal N. 14. Asante E. 28. Cohen N. 34. Cohen O. 6. Ehud I. 33. Grinberg Z. 11. Keyta H. 18. Mashiah A. (G) 72. Nassar Y.
13. Ansah E. 23. Azo O. N. 8. Ben Shimol Z. 5. Cohen G. 14. Elimelech R. 15. Muche N. 22. Ozer Y. (G) 26. Worko D. 10. Yona A.
Coaches
Peretz O.
Cohen A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Israelov O. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Shua Y. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Israeli S. 🟨,
37', Shua Y. 🟨,
37', Bile E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Antwi N. 🟨,
65', Weissman S. ↓, Azo O. N. ↑,
71', Altman T. ↓, Ehud I. ↑,
72', Kimvuidi K. ↓, Keyta H. ↑,
72', Yosefi T. ↓, Yona A. ↑,
72', Atzili O. ↓, Ansah E. ↑,
77', Levy R. ↓, Asante E. ↑,
83', Shalom H. ↓, Nassar Y. ↑,
83', Shua Y. ↓, Worko D. ↑,
83', Cle ↓, Cohen N. ↑,
88', Ehud I. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 12th in the Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group: ) and 5th in the Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Petah Tikva won 0.
Hapoel Petah Tikva is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Beitar Jerusalem is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Beitar Jerusalem may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Beitar Jerusalem holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Confirmed absences for Beitar Jerusalem: Cohen Y.
(Inactive).
Doubtful / questionable for Hapoel Petah Tikva: Arroyo D.
(Inactive)
Cohen A.
(Inactive)
Meir M.
(Inactive).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Petah Tikva has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:19 (averaging 0.9:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hapoel Petah Tikva against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 2:6 goals (averaging 0.4:1.2 per game).
Israel
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Katz O. (C) 
Moucketou-Moussounda A. 
Cle 
Amian B. 
Kimvuidi K. 
Miguel Silva (G) 
Antwi N. 
Carabali B. 
Gadrani L. 
Boris Enow 
Keyta H. 
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