Match Info

Date: 30 January 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bel-Abbès		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.1	1.72
	4.75	3.2	1.72
	5	3.25	1.65
	4.5	3.15	1.75
	5.13	3.35	1.81
	4.6	3.2	1.8
	4.45	3.36	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (3)	3.23 ↑ (2.8)	1.75 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bel-Abbès
19.1%

Draw
28.4%

USM Alger
52.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.1%

32.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

23.2%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bel-Abbès has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bel-Abbès's form might have worsened.

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting USM Alger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bel-Abbès than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

The ML Model estimate for USM Alger aligns with the current prediction.

Bel Abbès - USM Alger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation to Ligue 2 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Arab Club Champions Cup (Preliminary)).

Recent matches Bel-Abbès is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

USM Alger is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

USM Alger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match USM Alger is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bel-Abbès won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Bel-Abbès won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Bel-Abbès
Algerian Ligue 1
26.01.21	Belouizdad - Bel-Abbès	3:1 ✺
22.01.21	Bel-Abbès - Tlemcen	2:3 ✺
15.01.21	Biskra - Bel-Abbès	0:1 ✺
09.01.21	Bel-Abbès - Magra	1:0 ✺
27.12.20	ASO Chlef - Bel-Abbès	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLWWL
- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
26.01.21	USM Alger - Oran	2:0 ✺
22.01.21	Bordj Bou Arréridj - USM Alger	0:1 ✺
16.01.21	USM Alger - Rélizane	3:1 ✺
11.01.21	Kabylie - USM Alger	1:2 ✺
27.12.20	USM Alger - Hussein Dey	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
21.12.19	Bel-Abbès - USM Alger	1:0
09.02.19	USM Alger - Bel-Abbès	1:0
Algerian Cup
31.12.18	USM Alger - Bel-Abbès	2:1 ET
Algerian Ligue 1
19.10.18	Bel-Abbès - USM Alger	2:2
09.02.18	USM Alger - Bel-Abbès	1:2
03.10.17	Bel-Abbès - USM Alger	2:0
07.06.17	USM Alger - Bel-Abbès	6:2

Bel-Abbès - USM Alger

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Bel Abbès - USM Alger Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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