Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 15

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday


	USM Alger		Oran

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	5.5
	1.8	2.96	5.73	Watch
	1.62	3.1	6
	1.65	3.25	6.54	Watch
	1.55	3.33	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.76)	3.19 ↓ (3.21)	6.09 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USM Alger
55.9%

Draw
28.9%

Oran
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

28.9%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

28%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Oran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oran than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

USM Alger - Oran Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. USM Alger will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for USM Alger: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. USM Alger (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Soufi K. (G) 21. Alilet A. 3. Atmania S. 14. Benzaza B. 13. Dehiri H. 6. Draoui Z. 27. Ghacha H. 7. Khaldi A. 12. Loucif H. 8. Merili I. 19. Radouani S. (C)	1. Aggoune L. (G) 21. Abdelkader M. 8. Aguieb J. 27. Aliane Y. 17. Aoudjane C. 22. Belharrane A. 20. Belkhiter M. 5. Hachoud I. 23. Hamra A. 24. Kerroum A. (C) 15. Mohutsiwa G.
Substitutes
9. Benayad R. 24. Bouderbala M. 17. Bousseliou K. 22. Boutaoui M. 23. Chetti I. 11. Likonza G. 31. Mechid D. E. 1. Sifour A. (G) 30. Tendeng A.	7. Baakoh M. 42. Belabbaci A. 56. Benhakim M. 4. Bourdim A. . Ekhlef 6. Embarek O. 16. Ferrahi M. (G) 12. Kaddour O. 13. Senhadji M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Alilet A. ⚽,
57', 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Aliane Y. ⚽,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 2.

USM Alger is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oran has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, USM Alger is the team to beat.

We predict that USM Alger will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, USM Alger won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	USM Alger	3	2	1	0	5:2	3	7
4	Oran	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
27.12.25	Olympique Akbou - USM Alger	1:1 ✺
22.12.25	USM Alger - Rouissat	2:0 ✺
18.12.25	USM Alger - Ben Aknoun	2:2 ✺
Algerian Cup
14.12.25	USM Alger - MO Constantine	3:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
08.12.25	Kabylie - USM Alger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWTWW
- MC Oran
Algerian Ligue 1
29.12.25	Oran - Belouizdad	1:1 ✺
18.12.25	ASO Chlef - Oran	1:0 ✺
Algerian Cup
05.12.25	Oran - Mostaganem	1:2 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
20.11.25	Oran - ES Sétif	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Rouissat - Oran	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
20.06.25	Oran - USM Alger	4:0
26.12.24	USM Alger - Oran	3:0
21.05.24	Oran - USM Alger	1:0
15.01.24	USM Alger - Oran	2:0
10.06.23	USM Alger - Oran	0:0
02.10.22	Oran - USM Alger	1:0
17.04.22	Oran - USM Alger	2:1

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