Match Info

Date: 27 June 2021, Sunday


	Belgium		Portugal

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.9
	2.55	3.2	2.9
	2.63	3.25	3
	2.5	3.2	2.95
	2.65	3.27	2.99
	2.55	3.2	2.9
	2.64	3.32	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.48)	3.23 ↓ (3.24)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgium
37.5%

Draw
29.9%

Portugal
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

22.3%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Portugal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgium than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgium, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portugal than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portugal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.2%	16%	19.8%

Belgium - Portugal Predictions

Users Predictions: 243 users predict this event. Belgium will win (votes: 156 - 64.2%). Portugal will win (votes: 48 - 19.8%). It will Tie (votes: 39 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Belgium: 58.2% – 70.2%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Belgium in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Portugal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portugal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Belgium won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgium
UEFA Euro
21.06.21	Finland - Belgium	0:2 ✺
17.06.21	Denmark - Belgium	1:2 ✺
12.06.21	Belgium - Russia	3:0 ✺
Friendly
06.06.21	Belgium - Croatia	1:0 ✺
03.06.21	Belgium - Greece	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWT
- Portugal
UEFA Euro
23.06.21	Portugal - France	2:2 ✺
19.06.21	Portugal - Germany	2:4 ✺
15.06.21	Hungary - Portugal	0:3 ✺
Friendly
09.06.21	Portugal - Israel	3:0 ✺
04.06.21	Spain - Portugal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
02.06.18	Belgium - Portugal	0:0
29.03.16	Portugal - Belgium	2:1

Belgium - Portugal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide