Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play, TNT Sports


	Newells Old Boys 2		Independiente Rivadavia 2

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.15	3.75
	1.85	3.57	3.85
	1.91	3.48	3.63	Watch
	1.83	3	4
	1.88	3.24	4.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.06)	3.29 ↑ (3.12)	3.92 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys 2
48.9%

Draw
27.8%

Independiente Rivadavia 2
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Independiente Rivadavia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia 2 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Newells Old Boys 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, ⚽,
69', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 11).

Newells Old Boys 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Independiente R 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Newells Old Boys 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Newells Old Boys 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
31.03.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Lanús 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW
- Independiente Rivadavia 2
Argentinian Reserve League
31.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:3 ✺
26.03.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	4:1 ✺
03.03.26	Ferro 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	0:0 ✺
17.02.26	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Boca Juniors 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
17.07.25	Independiente Rivadavia 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:0
19.02.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	1:0

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