Match Info

ALGERIA: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 23 December 2022, Friday


	Ben Aknoun		Hussein Dey

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.43	3.8	5.8
	1.42	3.6	6.8
	1.43	4.05	7.94
	1.44	3.5	7.5
	1.44	3.82	7
	1.46	3.85	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.67)	3.77 ↑ (3.37)	6.93 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Aknoun
62.9%

Draw
24%

Hussein Dey
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

26.7%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

25.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Aknoun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ben Aknoun's performance.

Hussein Dey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hussein Dey might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Aknoun than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ben Aknoun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hussein Dey than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hussein Dey could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.8%	4.7%	3.5%

Ben Aknoun - Hussein Dey Predictions

Users Predictions: Ben Aknoun will win (78 of 85 users predict this - 91.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.91% – 97.61%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 and 13).

Ben Aknoun is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hussein Dey is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ben Aknoun could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ben Aknoun is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ben Aknoun to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ES Ben Aknoun
Algerian Ligue 2
17.12.22	Olympique de Médéa - Ben Aknoun	2:2 ✺
10.12.22	Ben Aknoun - JSM Tiaret	3:1 ✺
02.12.22	ASM Oran - Ben Aknoun	1:2 ✺
19.11.22	Ben Aknoun - Saïda	2:1 ✺
15.11.22	Widad Adabi de Boufarik - Ben Aknoun	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWWT
- NA Hussein Dey
Algerian Ligue 2
17.12.22	Hussein Dey - Témouchent	2:0 ✺
02.12.22	Widad Adabi de Boufarik - Hussein Dey	1:4 ✺
Algerian Cup
26.11.22	Chaouia - Hussein Dey	2:0 ✺
Algerian Ligue 2
19.11.22	Hussein Dey - Mostaganem	1:2 ✺
15.11.22	JSM Tiaret - Hussein Dey	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLLL

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