Match Info

TUNISIA: LIGUE PROFESSIONNELLE 1 - ROUND 14

Date: 8 February 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: 7 March Stadium (Ben Guerdane) 🌤️ ...


	Ben Guerdane		Slimane

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.25	5.75
	1.51	3.26	6.43
	1.6	3.1	6
	1.59	3.2	6.95
	1.59	3.25	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.09)	3.21 ↑ (2.66)	6.23 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Guerdane
57.4%

Draw
28.1%

Slimane
14.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.7%

33.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

32.1%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Guerdane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ben Guerdane's performance.

Slimane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slimane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Guerdane than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ben Guerdane that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slimane than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slimane could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	4.4%	2.2%

Ben Guerdane - Slimane Predictions

Users Predictions: Ben Guerdane will win (42 of 45 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.04% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Championship Group) and 5 in the zone Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ben Guerdane won 2.

Recent matches Ben Guerdane is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Slimane is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ben Guerdane is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ben Guerdane won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ben Guerdane won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Ben Guerdane
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
05.02.23	Monastir - Ben Guerdane	0:1 ✺
02.02.23	Ben Guerdane - Club Africain	1:1 ✺
30.01.23	Olympique Béja - Ben Guerdane	1:1 ✺
25.01.23	Ben Guerdane - Rejiche	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Métlaoui - Ben Guerdane	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WTTWL
- AS Slimane
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
05.02.23	Slimane - Sidi Bouzid	1:0 ✺
02.02.23	Slimane - Métlaoui	1:1 ✺
30.01.23	Monastir - Slimane	2:0 ✺
25.01.23	Slimane - Club Africain	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Olympique Béja - Slimane	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
09.11.22	Slimane - Ben Guerdane	1:0
Tunisian Cup
30.05.21	Slimane - Ben Guerdane	2:1 penalties
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
02.03.21	Slimane - Ben Guerdane	2:2
12.12.20	Ben Guerdane - Slimane	2:0
11.08.20	Slimane - Ben Guerdane	0:2
27.10.19	Ben Guerdane - Slimane	2:1

Ben Guerdane - Slimane