Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Metlaoui Municipal stadium (Metlaoui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Métlaoui		Ben Guerdane

	1	X	2
	2.41	2.79	3.36
	2.17	3.01	3.89
	2.19	2.7	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.17)	2.83 ↓ (2.87)	3.57 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Métlaoui
41.2%

Draw
32.8%

Ben Guerdane
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

32.7%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

27.3%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Métlaoui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Ben Guerdane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Métlaoui than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Guerdane than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Métlaoui - Ben Guerdane Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Métlaoui (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Ben C. H. (G) 21. Bahri O. 15. Bouhajeb S. 9. Guesmi M. I. 18. Hssine M. 11. Kachouri M. 32. Kouassi E. 8. Meskini F. 26. Ouled Behi A. 20. Soltani Y. 5. Sylla B. N.	31. Hammami L. (G) 29. Abderrazzak G. 13. Amri A. 6. Bida J. 9. Hadj Khalifa I. 5. Maaouani K. 15. Samb M. 30. Sidiki Leno A. 3. Taous A. 26. Touis I. 14. Yeken M. H.
Substitutes
12. Bangoura A. 7. Ben Salem Z. 4. Bouani S. 29. Diame Pape M. 25. Fajraoui I. 17. Hermes I. 14. Nana B. 33. Traore D. 1. Yeddes S. (G)	17. Abdi W. 33. Ben Ahmed A. 28. Chaibi R. 19. Dabbebi N. 7. M'Ghezzi Bakhouche A. 23. Mhirsi I. 8. Mimouni F. 27. Salhi W. 1. Zemzem B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Guesmi M. I. 🟥,
26', Touis I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Kachouri M. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
70', 0 - 1, Taous A. (Pen),
79', Hssine M. ↓, Ben Salem Z. ↑,
79', Bouhajeb S. ↓, Bouani S. ↑,
80', Touis I. 🟨,
84', Ben Salem Z. 🟨,
85', Sidiki Leno A. ↓, Dabbebi N. ↑,
88', Mhirsi I. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Ouled Behi A. (Pen),
90+7', Hammami L. 🟨,
90+8', Taous A. ↓, Ben Ahmed A. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Métlaoui won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Métlaoui is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Métlaoui won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Métlaoui won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Métlaoui
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
28.09.25	Olympique Béja - Métlaoui	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Métlaoui - Club Africain	1:0 ✺
16.09.25	Espérance ST - Métlaoui	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Métlaoui - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	0:0 ✺
27.08.25	Stade Tunisien - Métlaoui	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLTL
- US Ben Guerdane
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
28.09.25	Club Africain - Ben Guerdane	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Ben Guerdane - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	0:0 ✺
17.09.25	Sfaxien - Ben Guerdane	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Ben Guerdane - Bizertin	0:1 ✺
28.08.25	Zarzis - Ben Guerdane	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
03.03.25	Ben Guerdane - Métlaoui	2:2
10.11.24	Métlaoui - Ben Guerdane	1:1
26.05.24	Ben Guerdane - Métlaoui	3:0
03.03.24	Métlaoui - Ben Guerdane	3:1
22.01.23	Métlaoui - Ben Guerdane	2:1
26.10.22	Ben Guerdane - Métlaoui	2:0
27.02.21	Ben Guerdane - Métlaoui	0:0

Métlaoui - Ben Guerdane: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide