Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE WOMEN - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 22 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Benfica		Rosengård

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.8	6.5
	1.4	4.75	6.5
	1.38	5.08	6.93
	1.38	5.08	6.93
	1.33	4.6	6.5
	1.37	4.95	6.7
	1.4	4.7	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.64)	4.85 ↑ (4)	6.67 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
67.1%

Draw
19%

Rosengård
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

23.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

22.4%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.

Rosengård has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosengård might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benfica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosengård than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosengård could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Benfica - Rosengård Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pauels L. (G) 80. Lais 15. Costa C. (C) 16. Ucheibe C. 13. Sousa Alves L. C. 6. Faria A. 23. Gasper A. 2. Alidou d'Anjou M. 11. Silva J. 10. Nazareth K. 28. Falcon A.	12. Mukasa A. (G) 6. Oling R. 2. Obaze I. 3. Arnardottir G. 15. Wik J. 8. Knaak R. 17. Seger C. (C) 19. Bredgaard S. 9. Larsson E. 16. Kadowaki M. 22. Schough O.
Substitutes
14. Almeida L. 5. Almendariz P. 19. Amado C. 8. Cintra M. 66. Costa R. (G) 39. Dias C. (G) 20. Martins L. 99. Nogueira B. 17. Norton A. 9. Raysla N. 4. Rebelo S. 3. Seica A.	24. Andersson H. 25. Berglund E. 7. Brown F. 48. Hellwig D. (G) 11. Jansson E. 36. Lundgren A. 50. Lynn S. (G) 40. Sprung B. 46. Stojanovska M.
Coaches
Patao F.	Cederstrom I.

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Rosengård could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Benfica have a series of guest games.

In this match Benfica is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Benfica to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Benfica won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
19.11.23	Braga - Benfica	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
14.11.23	Barcelona - Benfica	5:0 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
05.11.23	Atlético Ouriense - Benfica	0:5 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
22.10.23	Famalicão - Benfica	0:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
18.10.23	Benfica - Apollon Limassol	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW
- FC Rosengård Women
UEFA Champions League Women
14.11.23	Rosengård - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen Women
08.11.23	Trelleborg - Rosengård	0:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan Women
05.11.23	Kristianstad - Rosengård	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Vittsjö - Rosengård	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
18.10.23	Rosengård - ŽFK Spartak Subotica	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
07.12.22	Rosengård - Benfica	1:3
24.11.22	Benfica - Rosengård	1:0

Benfica - Rosengård: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide