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Benfica - Twente

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Match Info

  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 3
  • Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Estรกdio da Luz (Lisbon) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
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    Benfica Twente
    Benfica Twente
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 2.1 3.9 3
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.2 ↑
    (2)    		 3.91 ↑
    (3.4)    		 2.85 ↓
    (3.8)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Benfica
    42.9%    		Draw
    24.1%    		Twente
    33%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    47.3% 27.8% 24.9%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    47.7% 27.6% 24.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Twente's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Twente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    53.8% 15.4% 30.8%

    Benfica - Twente Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Twente will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 35.2% โ€“ 92%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 50%). Twente (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Twente (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 40%). Twente (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. GermanyPauels L. (G)
    19. PortugalAmado C.
    22. PortugalGomes D.
    16. NigeriaUcheibe C.
      5. NorwayLund M.
    23. GermanyGasper A. (C)
      6. PortugalCameirao B.
    10. DenmarkMoller C.
    13. PortugalSousa Alves L. C.
      7. SpainMartin-Prieto Gutierrez C.
    25. CanadaDavidson C.
    		  1. BelgiumLemey D. (G)
    12. NetherlandsVliek L.
      5. NetherlandsKnol A.
      4. NetherlandsCarleer L.
    11. NetherlandsTuin A.
      8. Netherlandsvan Ginkel D. (C)
    10. NetherlandsRoord J.
      6. NetherlandsGroenewegen L.
      7. NetherlandsHulst C.
      9. NetherlandsRavensbergen J.
    19. NetherlandsProost S.
    Substitutes
    14. PortugalAlmeida L.
    56. USABoeckmann C.
    15. PortugalCosta C.
    66. PortugalCosta R. (G)
    18. NorwayEngesvik R.
    77. PortugalGuedes N.
    20. PortugalMartins L.
    21. SpainPauleta
      2. FrancePrat S.
      9. BrazilRaysla N.
      3. PortugalSilva J.
    55. PortugalTristao C.
    		17. IcelandAndradottir A.
    22. NetherlandsBussman F. (G)
    15. NetherlandsDiekman J.
    29. NetherlandsIvens R.
    14. NetherlandsOude Elberink E.
    18. Netherlandste Brake S.
    16. NetherlandsTijink I. (G)
      2. Netherlandsvan der Vegt I.
    23. NetherlandsVerdaasdonk S.
    Coaches
         PortugalBaptista I.
    		     NetherlandsDekker C.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 3', Groenewegen L. 🟨,
    • 33', van Ginkel D. 🟨,
    • 33', Sousa Alves L. C. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
    • 46', Hulst C. ↓, Ivens R. ↑,
    • 47', Davidson C. 🟨,
    • 61', Moller C. ↓, Raysla N. ↑,
    • 61', Gasper A. 🟨,
    • 62', 1 - 0, Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. ⚽, Sousa Alves L. C. (A),
    • 69', 1 - 1, Groenewegen L. ⚽,
    • 73', Davidson C. ↓, Martins L. ↑,
    • 74', Gasper A. ↓, Tristao C. ↑,
    • 78', Cameirao B. ↓, Boeckmann C. ↑,
    • 78', Amado C. ↓, Engesvik R. ↑,
    • 87', Groenewegen L. ↓, van der Vegt I. ↑,

    Preview

  • Benfica is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • In recent matches, Twente has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 2).
  • Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - SL Benfica Women
    Portuguese Liga BPI Women
    08.11.25 Torreense - Benfica 0:2 ✺
    02.11.25 Benfica - Marรญtimo 5:0 ✺
    Portugal Taรงa de Liga Women
    19.10.25 Marรญtimo - Benfica 1:5 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Women
    16.10.25 Benfica - Arsenal LFC 0:2 ✺
    Portuguese Liga BPI Women
    12.10.25 Valadares Gaia - Benfica 1:4 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8
    WWWLW
    - Twente Women
    Dutch Eredivisie Women
    02.11.25 ADO Den Haag - Twente 0:5 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Women
    15.10.25 Leuven - Twente 2:1 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Women
    12.10.25 Twente - Utrecht 1:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Women
    08.10.25 Twente - Chelsea 1:1 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Women
    04.10.25 PSV Eindhoven - Twente 1:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10
    WLTTW
    Latest Head to Head
    UEFA Champions League Women
    21.08.22 Twente - Benfica 1:2
    09.09.21 Benfica - Twente 4:0
    31.08.21 Twente - Benfica 1:1
    Club Friendly Women
    22.01.20 Benfica - Twente 3:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - SL Benfica Women
    UEFA Champions League Women
    28.10.26 Arsenal LFC - Benfica ✺
    - Twente Women
    Dutch Eredivisie Women
    01.11.26 Ajax - Twente ✺

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