Match Info

Champions League Women - League phase - Round 3

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	Disney+
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Austria	Disney+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Czech-republic	Disney+
Denmark	Disney+
Estonia	Disney+
Finland	Disney+
France	Disney+
Greece	Disney+
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Disney+
Kazakhstan	Disney+
Kosovo	Disney+
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Netherlands	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Disney+
Portugal	Disney+
Romania	Disney+
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Disney+
Spain	Disney+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	Disney+
United-kingdom	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, ESPN App, ESPN+, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Benfica		Twente

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.9	3
	2.08	3.95	2.92
	2.11	4	2.94
	2.64	3.92	2.22	Watch
	2.05	3.78	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2)	3.91 ↑ (3.4)	2.85 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Benfica
42.9%

Draw
24.1%

Twente
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.8%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.6%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Twente's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Twente, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	15.4%	30.8%

Benfica - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Twente will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 50%). Twente (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Twente (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 40%). Twente (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pauels L. (G) 19. Amado C. 22. Gomes D. 16. Ucheibe C. 5. Lund M. 23. Gasper A. (C) 6. Cameirao B. 10. Moller C. 13. Sousa Alves L. C. 7. Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. 25. Davidson C.	1. Lemey D. (G) 12. Vliek L. 5. Knol A. 4. Carleer L. 11. Tuin A. 8. van Ginkel D. (C) 10. Roord J. 6. Groenewegen L. 7. Hulst C. 9. Ravensbergen J. 19. Proost S.
Substitutes
14. Almeida L. 56. Boeckmann C. 15. Costa C. 66. Costa R. (G) 18. Engesvik R. 77. Guedes N. 20. Martins L. 21. Pauleta 2. Prat S. 9. Raysla N. 3. Silva J. 55. Tristao C.	17. Andradottir A. 22. Bussman F. (G) 15. Diekman J. 29. Ivens R. 14. Oude Elberink E. 18. te Brake S. 16. Tijink I. (G) 2. van der Vegt I. 23. Verdaasdonk S.
Coaches
Baptista I.	Dekker C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Groenewegen L. 🟨,
33', van Ginkel D. 🟨,
33', Sousa Alves L. C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hulst C. ↓, Ivens R. ↑,
47', Davidson C. 🟨,
61', Moller C. ↓, Raysla N. ↑,
61', Gasper A. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Martin-Prieto Gutierrez C. ⚽, Sousa Alves L. C. (A),
69', 1 - 1, Groenewegen L. ⚽,
73', Davidson C. ↓, Martins L. ↑,
74', Gasper A. ↓, Tristao C. ↑,
78', Cameirao B. ↓, Boeckmann C. ↑,
78', Amado C. ↓, Engesvik R. ↑,
87', Groenewegen L. ↓, van der Vegt I. ↑,

Preview

Benfica is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Twente has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica Women
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
08.11.25	Torreense - Benfica	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Benfica - Marítimo	5:0 ✺
Portugal Taça de Liga Women
19.10.25	Marítimo - Benfica	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
16.10.25	Benfica - Arsenal LFC	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga BPI Women
12.10.25	Valadares Gaia - Benfica	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW
- Twente Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
02.11.25	ADO Den Haag - Twente	0:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
15.10.25	Leuven - Twente	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
12.10.25	Twente - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
08.10.25	Twente - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie Women
04.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Twente	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
21.08.22	Twente - Benfica	1:2
09.09.21	Benfica - Twente	4:0
31.08.21	Twente - Benfica	1:1
Club Friendly Women
22.01.20	Benfica - Twente	3:0

Benfica - Twente: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide