Match Info

Champions League Women - League phase - Round 1

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: De Grolsch Veste (Enschede)

Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	Disney+
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	ESPN 2
Austria	Disney+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Disney+
China	iQIYI
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Denmark	Disney+
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	TVC Deportes 2
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
United-kingdom	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN+, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Twente		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	9	8	1.2
	7.4	4.95	1.29
	10.73	7.02	1.2
	7.42	5.37	1.32	Watch
	11.6	7.3	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.23 ↑ (5.82)	6.53 ↓ (6.91)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Twente
10.1%

Draw
14.3%

Chelsea
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

13.4%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

13.6%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Twente's form might have worsened.

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Twente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Twente - Chelsea Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chelsea will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lemey D. (G) 12. Vliek L. 4. Carleer L. 5. Knol A. 11. Tuin A. 6. Groenewegen L. 10. Roord J. 8. van Ginkel D. (C) 14. Oude Elberink E. 9. Ravensbergen J. 19. Proost S.	1. Peng L. (G) 2. Carpenter E. 4. Bright M. (C) 5. Buurman V. 17. Baltimore S. 23. Hamano M. 27. Jean-Francois O. 6. Nusken S. 12. Thompson A. 33. Beever-Jones A. 11. Reiten G.
Substitutes
17. Andradottir A. 22. Bussman F. (G) 15. Diekman J. 7. Hulst C. 29. Ivens R. 18. te Brake S. 2. van der Vegt I. 23. Verdaasdonk S.	14. Bjorn N. 8. Cuthbert E. 24. Hampton H. (G) 19. Kaneryd J. 18. Kaptein W. 20. Kerr S. 32. Potter A. 66. Sarwie C. 30. Walsh K.
Coaches
Dekker C.	Bompastor S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Hamano M. ↓, Kaptein W. ↑,
53', Nusken S. ↓, Cuthbert E. ↑,
61', Thompson A. ↓, Kaneryd J. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, van Ginkel D. ⚽, Roord J. (A),
69', Oude Elberink E. ↓, van der Vegt I. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Baltimore S. (Pen),
73', Reiten G. ↓, Kerr S. ↑,
73', Baltimore S. ↓, Sarwie C. ↑,
78', Proost S. ↓, Ivens R. ↑,
87', Ravensbergen J. ↓, Andradottir A. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

In this match, Chelsea is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Twente won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 1:4.5).

Including home match between the teams, Twente won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Twente Women
Dutch Eredivisie Women
04.10.25	PSV Eindhoven - Twente	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Zwolle - Twente	1:4 ✺
21.09.25	Twente - NAC Breda	6:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
18.09.25	Twente - GKS Katowice	4:1 ✺
11.09.25	GKS Katowice - Twente	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW
- Chelsea LFC
English WSL
03.10.25	Manchester United - Chelsea	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	West Ham - Chelsea	0:4 ✺
21.09.25	Chelsea - Leicester City	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Aston Villa - Chelsea	1:3 ✺
05.09.25	Chelsea - Manchester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
11.12.24	Chelsea - Twente	6:1
17.10.24	Twente - Chelsea	1:3

Twente - Chelsea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide