Match Info

AUSTRALIA: Victoria Premier League - Round 25

Date: 9 August 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Bentleigh Greens		Werribee City

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.1	3.6
	1.68	4.2	3.5
	1.7	4.39	3.69	Watch
	1.67	4.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.79)	4.22 ↑ (3.97)	3.66 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bentleigh Greens
53.8%

Draw
21.4%

Werribee City
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.9%

22.5%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

19.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bentleigh Greens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Werribee City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bentleigh Greens than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bentleigh Greens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werribee City than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Werribee City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bentleigh Greens - Werribee City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Werribee City is Relegated to

Recent matches Bentleigh Greens is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Werribee City is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Bentleigh Greens have a series of guest games.

Bentleigh Greens will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bentleigh Greens won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bentleigh Greens
Australian Victoria Premier League
27.07.24	Melbourne City Youth - Bentleigh Greens	2:1 ✺
19.07.24	Bentleigh Greens - Caroline Springs George Cross	0:1 ✺
13.07.24	North Geelong Warriors - Bentleigh Greens	2:3 ✺
06.07.24	Eastern Lions - Bentleigh Greens	3:2 ✺
01.07.24	Kingston City - Bentleigh Greens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW
- Werribee City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
26.07.24	Werribee City - Preston Lions	2:3 ✺
19.07.24	Northcote City - Werribee City	1:1 ✺
12.07.24	Werribee City - Western United U21	0:2 ✺
07.07.24	Melbourne Victory Youth - Werribee City	2:0 ✺
28.06.24	Werribee City - Bulleen Lions	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
04.05.24	Werribee City - Bentleigh Greens	2:2
Australian NPL Victoria
14.06.15	Werribee City - Bentleigh Greens	1:3

Bentleigh Greens - Werribee City