Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 16

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Eastern Lions		Bentleigh Greens

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.5	1.49
	4.9	4.5	1.48
	5.35	4.93	1.48
	5	4.84	1.47	Watch
	5.5	4.4	1.44
	5.1	4.65	1.45
	4.9	4.5	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.05 ↓ (6.1)	4.62 ↓ (5.06)	1.47 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eastern Lions
18.1%

Draw
19.8%

Bentleigh Greens
62.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.9%

18%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.3%

17.3%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eastern Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Bentleigh Greens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern Lions than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bentleigh Greens than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bentleigh Greens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eastern Lions - Bentleigh Greens Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
76', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eastern Lions won 1.

Recent performances by Eastern Lions have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bentleigh Greens is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Bentleigh Greens is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Eastern Lions won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:20. (average 0.7:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Eastern Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eastern Lions SC
Australian Victoria Premier League
24.05.25	Manningham United - Eastern Lions	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Eastern Lions - Brunswick City	0:1 ✺
09.05.25	Eastern Lions - Kingston City	3:2 ✺
05.05.25	Bulleen Lions - Eastern Lions	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Eastern Lions - Caroline Springs George Cross	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LLWWL
- Bentleigh Greens
Australian Victoria Premier League
23.05.25	Bentleigh Greens - Melbourne City Youth	1:1 ✺
16.05.25	Moreland City - Bentleigh Greens	2:3 ✺
09.05.25	Northcote City - Bentleigh Greens	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Bentleigh Greens - North Sunshine Eagles	3:1 ✺
25.04.25	Bentleigh Greens - Manningham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
21.02.25	Bentleigh Greens - Eastern Lions	5:0
06.07.24	Eastern Lions - Bentleigh Greens	3:2
Australian NPL Victoria
08.07.22	Bentleigh Greens - Eastern Lions	3:0
09.04.22	Eastern Lions - Bentleigh Greens	1:4
26.02.21	Eastern Lions - Bentleigh Greens	1:3
16.02.20	Eastern Lions - Bentleigh Greens	0:3

Eastern Lions - Bentleigh Greens