The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Berazategui 39.6%
Draw 33%
Sacachispas 27.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
31.6%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
30.1%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Berazategui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berazategui than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Berazategui - Sacachispas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Molina J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, Pombo N. (Penalty Awarded),
77', 3 - 0, Miranda L. ⚽,
Preview
In recent outings, Berazategui has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sacachispas has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Berazategui could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Berazategui is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Berazategui has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:9 (averaging 0.8:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Berazategui against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 1:2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Sacachispas - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 29.97%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.