Match Info

Primera C - Round 25

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	Mercedes		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
	4.50	3.10	1.73
	3.95	3.05	1.87
	4.95	3.13	1.72
	3.07	2.73	2.49	Watch
	4.80	3.10	1.67
	5.95	3.10	1.73
	5.00	3.10	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (2.92)	3.04 ↑ (3.02)	1.84 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercedes
19.9%

Draw
30.2%

Sacachispas
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.8%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

30.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mercedes's form might have worsened.

Sacachispas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sacachispas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mercedes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sacachispas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Mercedes - Sacachispas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sacachispas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sacachispas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Diaz Felipe (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mercedes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
18.08.26	Atlético Claypole - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Argentino de Rosario - Mercedes	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Mercedes - Estrella del Sur	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Berazategui - Mercedes	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Mercedes - El Porvenir	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LLTWW
- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera C
17.08.26	Deportivo Español - Sacachispas	0:0 ✺
10.08.26	Sacachispas - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Atlas General Rodríguez - Sacachispas	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Puerto Nuevo - Sacachispas	1:0 ✺
27.07.26	Sacachispas - Leandro N. Alem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
26.04.26	Sacachispas - Mercedes	0:0

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