Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Berceo		Anguiano

	1	X	2
	5.7	3.8	1.49
	4.91	3.65	1.66	Watch
	6.25	3.7	1.49
	4.2	3.45	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.27 ↑ (4.2)	3.65 ↑ (3.45)	1.6 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berceo
17.4%

Draw
25.2%

Anguiano
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

26.4%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

25.9%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Anguiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Anguiano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berceo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anguiano than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Berceo - Anguiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
84', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Anguiano has had a series of home games.

In this match, Anguiano is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Berceo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.8:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Berceo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
16.11.25	Haro Deportivo - Berceo	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Berceo - Agoncillo	1:6 ✺
02.11.25	Villegas - Berceo	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Berceo - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Comillas - Berceo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LLLWW
- CD Anguiano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
16.11.25	Anguiano - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Anguiano - Pradejón	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Anguiano - Yagüe	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Haro Deportivo - Anguiano	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Anguiano - Agoncillo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
28.03.24	Berceo - Anguiano	0:2
12.11.23	Anguiano - Berceo	2:1
26.03.23	Berceo - Anguiano	1:1
27.11.22	Anguiano - Berceo	3:1
27.02.22	Anguiano - Berceo	2:1
17.10.21	Berceo - Anguiano	0:1
01.11.20	Berceo - Anguiano	2:0

Berceo - Anguiano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide