Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 33

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Berceo		Yagüe

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.35	3.3
	1.9	3.4	3
	2.05	3.31	3.38	Watch
	2.02	3.28	3.31
	1.92	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.92)	3.31 ↑ (3.2)	3.18 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berceo
45.2%

Draw
26.9%

Yagüe
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

26.5%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

25.1%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Yagüe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berceo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
74', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 1.

Berceo has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Yagüe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Berceo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Berceo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Berceo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Berceo	5	4	0	1	14:5	9	12
10	Yague	5	2	0	3	5:8	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Berceo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
26.04.26	Berceo - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Oyonesa - Berceo	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Berceo - Pradejón	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Anguiano - Berceo	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Berceo - Haro Deportivo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLLTL
- Yagüe CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
19.04.26	Yagüe - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Vianés - Yagüe	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Yagüe - Oyonesa	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	Arnedo - Yagüe	3:0 ✺
22.03.26	Yagüe - Pradejón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
03.01.26	Yagüe - Berceo	2:2
08.02.25	Yagüe - Berceo	0:1
29.09.24	Berceo - Yagüe	0:1
21.01.23	Yagüe - Berceo	2:1
17.09.22	Berceo - Yagüe	0:1
24.04.22	Berceo - Yagüe	3:4
15.01.22	Yagüe - Berceo	1:2

Berceo - Yagüe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide