Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 23

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Berga		Hässleholm

	1	X	2
	4.8	4.4	1.46
	5.5	4.33	1.47
	4.99	4.34	1.47
	5.15	4.46	1.49	Watch
	6	5	1.33
	5.74	4.33	1.44
	5.5	4.33	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.38 ↓ (6.24)	4.46 ↓ (5)	1.45 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berga
16.9%

Draw
20.4%

Hässleholm
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

18%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Hässleholm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berga than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hässleholm than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hässleholm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Berga - Hässleholm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Ahstedt V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, Velander F. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Su00f6dra Gu00f6taland (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Berga won 2.

Berga is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hässleholm is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Berga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hässleholm is absolute favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Berga won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Berga won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Berga
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
21.09.24	Karlskrona - Berga	3:0 ✺
15.09.24	Österlen - Berga	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Berga - Högaborgs	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Berga - IFK Trelleborg	0:3 ✺
24.08.24	Kristianstad - Berga	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLL
- Hässleholms IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
20.09.24	Hässleholm - Högaborgs	4:1 ✺
14.09.24	Hässleholm - Kristianstad	3:3 ✺
08.09.24	Karlshamn - Hässleholm	1:0 ✺
30.08.24	Hässleholm - IFK Hässleholm	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Simrishamn - Hässleholm	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
25.05.24	Hässleholm - Berga	2:1
02.09.23	Hässleholm - Berga	6:0
06.05.23	Berga - Hässleholm	3:1
10.09.22	Berga - Hässleholm	1:0
21.05.22	Hässleholm - Berga	2:0
25.09.21	Hässleholm - Berga	0:2
27.06.21	Berga - Hässleholm	1:1

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